Colton Smith vs Patrick KypsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈColton Smith
#212 Β· 23 yrs Β· R
3 meetings Β· sets 4β2

πΊπΈPatrick Kypson
#118 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
15wColton Smith and Patrick Kypson have met 3 times since 2024; Colton Smith leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Tiburon Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Smith leads 2β1. Across all meetings Smith has taken 4 sets to Kypson's 2. Their most recent meeting: Patrick Kypson won at San Diego Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Kypson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Colton Smith | Patrick Kypson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 18/27 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 19/53 | 42% | 18/43 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 14/34 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 18/30 | 67% | 16/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 2, Kypson 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
π₯ Big Hitter
Kypson
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 30, 2026
San Diego Challenger
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 26, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 30, 2024
Tiburon Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Kypson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | - |
| ROI % | -36.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.97u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Kypson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 4 | β |
| Distance | 1,953 mi Β· 3,143 km | β |
| Route | USA | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Smith and Kypson posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Smith | Kypson |
|---|---|---|
| Stefan Kozlov | W 64 62 | W 76 60 |
| Michael Mmoh | W 62 64 | L 26 63 46 |
| Tyler Zink | W 64 76 | W 76 61 |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | W 64 61 | W 67 76 63 |
| Garrett Johns | L 67 16 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aidan Mayo
Columbus Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Oct 1
Duncan Chan
Columbus Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 29
Timo Legout
San Diego 2 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Sep 24
Stefan Kozlov
San Diego 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 22
Hugo Gaston
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Jerome Kym
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Andrea Pellegrino
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Felix Gill
Brownsburg Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 11
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Aleksandar Vukic
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome Β· 1st Round
May 6
Titouan Droguet
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
May 5
Jack Pinnington Jones
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome Β· 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Matteo Berrettini
Cagliari Challenger Β· 1st Round
Apr 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· 1st Round
Apr 23
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 46β54 matches
| Metric | Smith | Kypson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 57% |
| Sets won | 50% | 55% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Kypson |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Kypson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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