Colton Smith vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Colton Smith and Kei Nishikori have met 1 time since 2026; Kei Nishikori leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 0 sets to Nishikori's 2. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Savannah Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Colton Smith | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 8/23 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 15/47 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 13/32 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 7/13 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 9/21 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 0, Nishikori 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
🎾 All-Court
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🎾 All-Court across 222 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kei Nishikori.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 20, 2026
Savannah Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 3.62 |
| ROI % | -35.3% | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.88u | +0.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 161 mi · 259 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Smith and Nishikori posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Smith | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Yibing Wu | L 57 16 | L 36 63 16 |
| Clement Tabur | L 26 26 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Gill
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
J.J. Wolf
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Bu Yunchaokete
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Hayato Matsuoka
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Andre Ilagan
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Michael Zheng
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Borna Gojo
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–48 matches
| Metric | Smith | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 57% |
| Sets won | 50% | 54% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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