Colton Smith vs Hayato MatsuokaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Colton Smith and Hayato Matsuoka have met 1 time since 2026; Colton Smith leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 2 sets to Matsuoka's 0. Their most recent meeting: Colton Smith won at Lincoln Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Matsuoka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Colton Smith | Hayato Matsuoka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 72% | 34/47 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 8/23 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 15/47 | 30% | 23/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 13/32 | 56% | 24/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 7/13 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 9/21 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 86% | 36/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 81% | 34/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 1, Matsuoka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
🎾 All-Court
Matsuoka
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
Both Colton Smith and Hayato Matsuoka are 🎾 All-Court types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 186 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 16, 2026
Lincoln Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smith | Matsuoka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Colton Smith | Hayato Matsuoka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 10 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.73 |
| ROI % | -35.3% | +14.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.88u | +2.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 161 mi · 259 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | KAZ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Smith has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Matsuoka's 13%).
| Opponent | Smith | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| J.J. Wolf | L 67 36 | L 64 57 36 |
| Clement Chidekh | W 75 26 63 | L 36 67 |
| Daniel Milavsky | W 63 62 | W 62 64 |
| Masamichi Imamura | L 57 36 | L 46 57 |
| Michael Mmoh | W 62 64 | L 75 36 16 |
| Keegan Smith | W 76 61 | L 67 64 67 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | L 46 67 | L 06 46 |
| James Duckworth | W 64 76 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Gill
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
J.J. Wolf
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Bu Yunchaokete
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Hayato Matsuoka
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Andre Ilagan
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Michael Zheng
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Borna Gojo
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Aziz Dougaz
Astana Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Khumoun Sultanov
Astana Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Fajing Sun
Astana Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Takuya Kumasaka
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Koki Matsuda
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
J.J. Wolf
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Shintaro Mochizuki
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Yosuke Watanuki
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–76 matches
| Metric | Smith | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 62% |
| Sets won | 50% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Matsuoka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.