Colin Sinclair vs Shunsuke NakagawaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฒ๐ตColin Sinclair
#495 ยท 31 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐ฏ๐ตShunsuke Nakagawa
#960 ยท 26 yrs ยท R
5wColin Sinclair and Shunsuke Nakagawa have met 1 time since 2026; Colin Sinclair leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Sinclair has taken 2 sets to Nakagawa's 0. Their most recent meeting: Colin Sinclair won at M15 Harmon (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinclair | Nakagawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Colin Sinclair | Shunsuke Nakagawa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 30/43 | 92% | 12/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 24/72 | 25% | 7/28 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 22/40 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 51% | 22/43 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 35/40 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 30/40 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinclair 1, Nakagawa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinclair
๐ค Servebot
Nakagawa
โ๏ธ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs โ๏ธ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Colin Sinclair.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 3, 2026
M15 Harmon
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sinclair | Nakagawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Colin Sinclair | Shunsuke Nakagawa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinclair | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ7 | 2โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 3.60 |
| ROI % | -18.9% | -40.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.45u | -2.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinclair | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 1 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | KAZ | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Nakagawa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sinclair's 0%).
| Opponent | Sinclair | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Takuya Kumasaka | L 26 67 | L 67 36 |
| Jumpei Yamasaki | L 67 36 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Takuya Kumasaka
Astana Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Koki Matsuda
Samsun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Mert Alkaya
Samsun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Matt Hulme
M25 Brisbane ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Shinji Hazawa
M25 Brisbane ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Wihan Van Der Merwe
M25 Brisbane ยท 1st Round
Jul 15
Naoki Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Jun 18
Saki Tange
M15 Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Kenta Miyoshi
Samsun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Kazushi Idogaki
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Mao Takada
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Yu Tanaka
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Taki Adachi
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Renta Tokuda
M15 Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Jun 18
Sora Fukuda
M15 Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Jun 17
Taketo Takamisawa
Futures 2026
Jun 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 28โ72 matches
| Metric | Sinclair | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 46% |
| Sets won | 58% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinclair | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinclair | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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