Colin Sinclair vs Mert AlkayaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Colin Sinclair and Mert Alkaya have met 1 time since 2026; Colin Sinclair leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sinclair has taken 2 sets to Alkaya's 1. Their most recent meeting: Colin Sinclair won at Samsun Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinclair | Alkaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Colin Sinclair | Mert Alkaya | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 30/43 | 78% | 47/60 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 24/72 | 31% | 27/88 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 22/40 | 68% | 41/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 51% | 22/43 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 35/40 | 90% | 52/58 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 30/40 | 81% | 47/58 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinclair 0, Alkaya 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinclair
🤖 Servebot
Alkaya
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Colin Sinclair.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
Samsun Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sinclair | Alkaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Colin Sinclair | Mert Alkaya | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 50% | 9/18 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 11% | 2/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinclair | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -18.9% | -31.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.45u | -5.61u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinclair | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,119 mi · 3,410 km |
| Route | KAZ | TUR → KAZ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Takuya Kumasaka
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Koki Matsuda
Samsun Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Mert Alkaya
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Matt Hulme
M25 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Shinji Hazawa
M25 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Wihan Van Der Merwe
M25 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 15
Naoki Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Saki Tange
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 16
Khumoun Sultanov
Astana Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Beibit Zhukayev
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Sidharth Rawat
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Kenta Miyoshi
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Saba Purtseladze
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Colin Sinclair
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Akira Santillan
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 72–88 matches
| Metric | Sinclair | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 68% |
| Sets won | 58% | 66% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinclair | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinclair | Alkaya |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.