Colin Sinclair vs Koki MatsudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฒ๐ตColin Sinclair
#495 ยท 31 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 2โ2
๐ฏ๐ตKoki Matsuda
#479 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
3Colin Sinclair and Koki Matsuda have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Yokkaichi in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Sinclair has taken 2 sets to Matsuda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Koki Matsuda won at Samsun Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinclair | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Colin Sinclair | Koki Matsuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 30/43 | 79% | 31/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 24/72 | 30% | 18/61 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 22/40 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 51% | 22/43 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 35/40 | 85% | 35/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 30/40 | 76% | 31/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinclair 1, Matsuda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinclair
๐ค Servebot
Matsuda
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
Samsun Challenger
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Nov 21, 2022
Yokkaichi
H Hard ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sinclair | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Colin Sinclair | Koki Matsuda | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 50% | 9/18 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 11% | 2/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinclair | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ7 | 12โ9 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -18.9% | -12.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.45u | -2.69u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinclair | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | KAZ | TUR โ KAZ โ TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Matsuda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sinclair's 50%).
| Opponent | Sinclair | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Shinji Hazawa | W 76 46 76 | W 62 64 |
| Omar Jasika | L 36 61 36 | L 64 06 16 |
| Naoki Nakagawa | L 67 64 46 | W 76 62 |
| Ryuki Matsuda | L 64 46 06 | W 62 76 |
| Zhenxiong Dong | W 64 61 | W 61 76 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | W 64 76 | L 36 46 |
| Jumpei Yamasaki | L 67 36 | W 62 76 |
| Cruz Hewitt | L 67 46 | W 64 57 64 |
| Pawit Sornlaksup | W 75 76 | W 75 64 |
| Michael Zhu | W 75 76 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Takuya Kumasaka
Astana Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Koki Matsuda
Samsun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Mert Alkaya
Samsun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Matt Hulme
M25 Brisbane ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Shinji Hazawa
M25 Brisbane ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Wihan Van Der Merwe
M25 Brisbane ยท 1st Round
Jul 15
Naoki Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Jun 18
Saki Tange
M15 Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Chih-Jen Ho
M25 Taipei ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Hayato Matsuoka
Astana Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 10
Gijs Brouwer
Istanbul Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Paul Inchauspe
Istanbul Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kerem Yilmaz
Istanbul Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Gabriel Debru
Samsun Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Colin Sinclair
Samsun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Karan Singh
Samsun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 62โ72 matches
| Metric | Sinclair | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 65% |
| Sets won | 58% | 62% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinclair | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinclair | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.