Clemence Mercier vs Lilian PolingPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W75 Saguenay
- Level
- ITF W75
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 19 · 11:15 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 2.50 or longer, Lilian Poling has won 2 of 14 (14%). The price implied 29%, so Lilian Poling has fallen 15 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Clemence Mercier and Lilian Poling meet next at the W75 Saguenay on October 19 on hard.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mercier | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Clemence Mercier | Lilian Poling | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 0% | 0/1 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 2/3 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 75% | 3/4 | 29% | 9/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 45% | 5/11 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 3/4 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 25% | 1/4 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 82% | 9/11 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 73% | 8/11 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mercier
💥 Big Hitter
Poling
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 61% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 811 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Clemence Mercier.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Mercier and Poling have never faced each other on tour.
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mercier | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 6.58 | 2.93 |
| ROI % | +97.7% | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.93u | +0.32u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mercier | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 4 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SRB → EGY | POR → COL → SRB → EGY |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nina Vargova
W75 Saguenay · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Sara Saito
W50 Quebec City · 1st Round
Oct 13
Ariana Arseneault
W35 Saskatoon · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mia Kupres
W75 Granby · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Irina Balus
W35 Quebec City · Round of 32
Oct 15
Emy Gauvin
W75 Saguenay · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Cadence Brace
W50 Quebec City · 1st Round
Oct 13
Luisa Hrda
W50 Quebec City · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Elisabeth Djabourian
W50 Quebec City · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Elisabeth Djabourian
W50 Quebec City · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Amandine Monnot
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kaat Coppez
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Milena Ciocan
W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–32 matches
| Metric | Mercier | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | 38% |
| Sets won | 36% | 40% |
| Games won | 43% | 46% |