Clara Tauson vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇰Clara Tauson
#42 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Clara Tauson and Tatjana Maria have met 3 times since 2023; Clara Tauson leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Poland Open - Warsaw in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Tauson has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tauson has taken 4 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Clara Tauson won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tauson | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Clara Tauson | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 13/29 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tauson 2, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tauson
🤖 Servebot
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 15, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 26, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 26, 2023
BNP Paribas Poland Open - Warsaw
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tauson | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Clara Tauson | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tauson | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–8 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -14.1% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.25u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tauson | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Tauson's 57%).
| Opponent | Tauson | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Renata Zarazua | W 36 63 60 | L 46 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 64 64 | L 26 57 |
| Talia Gibson | L 67 64 46 | W 60 63 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 36 36 | W 63 63 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 76 62 | W 64 64 |
| Magda Linette | W 64 62 | W 60 63 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 46 62 36 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Renata Zarazua
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Peyton Stearns
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Nikola Bartunkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–60 matches
| Metric | Tauson | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 50% |
| Sets won | 52% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tauson | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tauson | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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