Clara Tauson vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇰Clara Tauson
#53 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
43 meetings · sets 4–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleClara Tauson and Tatjana Maria have met 3 times since 2023; Clara Tauson leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Poland Open - Warsaw in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Tauson has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tauson has taken 4 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Clara Tauson won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tauson | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Clara Tauson | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tauson 2, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tauson
🤖 Servebot
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 15, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 26, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 26, 2023
BNP Paribas Poland Open - Warsaw
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tauson | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Clara Tauson | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tauson | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -43.6% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.23u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tauson | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | — |
| Route | ROU → CZE | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Tauson and Maria posted a 44% win rate.
| Opponent | Tauson | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Marie Bouzkova | L | L 57 06 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 36 46 | L 76 26 36 |
| Sloane Stephens | L 46 16 | L 61 67 46 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 36 63 60 | L 46 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 64 64 | L 26 57 |
| Talia Gibson | L 67 64 46 | W 60 63 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 36 36 | W 63 63 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 76 62 | W 64 64 |
| Magda Linette | W 64 62 | W 60 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marie Bouzkova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Polina Kudermetova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Renata Zarazua
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Peyton Stearns
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–60 matches
| Metric | Tauson | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 53% |
| Sets won | 48% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tauson | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tauson | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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