Claire Liu vs Xiaodi YouPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Kia Open - Barranquilla
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 8 · 2:35 PM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 3.63 or longer, Xiaodi You has won 5 of 24 (21%). That is level with the 20% the price implied.
At 1.27 or shorter, Claire Liu has won 23 of 25 (92%). The price implied 79%, so Claire Liu has beaten it by 13 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Xiaodi You meets Claire Liu in the first round of the Kia Open in Barranquilla on hard court on September 8. You, ranked 206th, faces Liu at 111th in their first career matchup. Both players have been inactive for two weeks heading into the tournament.
The pair have no direct history. You has dropped seven straight matches and won only one of her last ten; Liu has taken four of five most recently but lost her last two outings. Against shared opponents, Liu holds a 3-1 record while You has managed one win across the same stretch.
Both You and Liu operate as reactive players who attack off shorter balls and redirect pace rather than generate it from the baseline. You has posted a 60% win rate on hard courts in recent play, while Liu sits at 50% on the surface. The match will test which player can better weather early-round rust and impose rhythm without forcing points.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Liu | You | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Claire Liu | Xiaodi You | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 16/30 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 9/18 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 23/48 | 40% | 19/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 12/31 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 19/24 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 16/24 | 52% | 15/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Liu
🪃 Counterpuncher
You
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Claire Liu and Xiaodi You are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 15,692 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Liu and You have never faced each other on tour.
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Liu | You |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.78 | 4.39 |
| ROI % | -13.4% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.07u | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Liu | You |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 567 mi · 913 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL → NED | NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Liu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs You's 17%).
| Opponent | Liu | You |
|---|---|---|
| Heather Watson | L 64 26 46 | W 64 63 |
| Lisa Zaar | L 46 36 | L 16 46 |
| Anastasiia Sobolieva | W 46 63 76 | L 63 26 06 |
| Zhuoxuan Bai | W 06 75 64 | L 36 24 |
| Ena Koike | L 26 67 | L 36 36 |
| Joanna Garland | W 63 62 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Heather Watson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Sinja Kraus
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Polina Iatcenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Yulia Putintseva
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Ipek Oz
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Maria Sara Popa
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Sinja Kraus
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 7
Zeynep Sonmez
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Ekaterine Gorgodze
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 5
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia · 1st Round
Jun 16
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Memorial Eugenio Fontana - Modena · 1st Round
Jun 9
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Open delle Puglie - Foggia · 1st Round
Jun 2
Lisa Zaar
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
May 28
Natalija Senic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
May 27
Francisca Jorge
French Open - Paris · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–48 matches
| Metric | Liu | You |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 50% |
| Sets won | 58% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |