Claire Liu vs Varvara LepchenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Claire Liu
#96 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇺🇸Varvara Lepchenko
#192 · 40 yrs · Left-Handed
Claire Liu and Varvara Lepchenko have met 2 times since 2024; Claire Liu leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Puerto Vallarta Open - Puerto Vallarta in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Liu leads 2–0. Liu has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Liu has taken 4 sets to Lepchenko's 1. Their most recent meeting: Claire Liu won at Kia Open - Barranquilla (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Liu | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Claire Liu | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 23/38 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 24/60 | 38% | 21/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 19/41 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 6/16 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Liu 1, Lepchenko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Liu
💥 Big Hitter
Lepchenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Claire Liu and Varvara Lepchenko are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 9, 2026
Kia Open - Barranquilla
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 20, 2024
Puerto Vallarta Open - Puerto Vallarta
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Liu | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Claire Liu | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Liu | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 2.72 |
| ROI % | -12.7% | -47.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.52u | -5.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Liu | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BRA → ROU → CZE | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Liu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Lepchenko's 40%).
| Opponent | Liu | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Lisa Zaar | L 46 36 | W 64 46 76 |
| Despina Papamichail | W 62 61 | W 60 64 |
| Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | W 64 06 60 | L 26 26 |
| Laura Pigossi | W 61 61 | L 63 57 36 |
| Anastasiia Sobolieva | W 46 63 76 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lanlana Tararudee
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Rebecca Sramkova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Elsa Jacquemot
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Anna Blinkova
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Final
Sep 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Semifinals
Sep 11
Kaitlin Quevedo
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Varvara Lepchenko
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Ulrikke Eikeri
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alycia Parks
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 13
Claire Liu
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Katrina Scott
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 7
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Alina Korneeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Emerson Jones
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–60 matches
| Metric | Liu | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 46% |
| Sets won | 59% | 47% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Liu | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Liu | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.