Claire Liu vs Heather WatsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Claire Liu
#96 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇬🇧Heather Watson
#388 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
7w3Claire Liu and Heather Watson have met 3 times since 2018; Heather Watson leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at San Jose in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Watson leads 2–0. Across all meetings Liu has taken 4 sets to Watson's 4. Their most recent meeting: Heather Watson won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Liu | Watson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Claire Liu | Heather Watson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 23/38 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 24/60 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 19/41 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 6/16 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Liu 1, Watson 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Liu
💥 Big Hitter
Watson
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Claire Liu and Heather Watson are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 24, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 4, 2022
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 1, 2018
San Jose
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Liu | Watson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Claire Liu | Heather Watson | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 3/3 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 67% | 2/3 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/3 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Liu | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 2.42 |
| ROI % | -12.7% | +20.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.52u | +1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Liu | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BRA → ROU → CZE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Liu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Watson's 25%).
| Opponent | Liu | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Blinkova | W 60 26 75 | L 26 57 |
| Xiaodi You | W 75 60 | L 46 36 |
| Viktoria Hruncakova | W 62 75 | L 63 46 57 |
| Anastasiia Sobolieva | W 46 63 76 | W 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lanlana Tararudee
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Rebecca Sramkova
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Elsa Jacquemot
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mary Stoiana
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Anna Blinkova
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Final
Sep 12
Leolia Jeanjean
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Semifinals
Sep 11
Kaitlin Quevedo
Kia Open - Barranquilla · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Varvara Lepchenko
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Angela Fita Boluda
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Claire Liu
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Anna Blinkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Julieta Pareja
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Kamilla Rakhimova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Tatiana Prozorova
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 26–60 matches
| Metric | Liu | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 54% |
| Sets won | 59% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Liu | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Liu | Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.