Christopher Li vs Matteo CovatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Christopher Li and Matteo Covato have met 1 time since 2026; Christopher Li leads 1–0. Across all meetings Li has taken 2 sets to Covato's 1. Their most recent meeting: Christopher Li won at KIA Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Li | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Christopher Li | Matteo Covato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 13/18 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 5/15 | 22% | 8/36 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 10/33 | 25% | 13/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 6/12 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 30% | 10/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 8/11 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 71% | 15/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Li 0, Covato 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Li
⚔️ The Gladiator
Covato
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Covato.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 3, 2026
KIA Open
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Li | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 0–10 |
| Avg odds | - | 5.39 |
| ROI % | - | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -10.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Li | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | SUI → GER → NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Li and Covato posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Li | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Fenty | L 06 06 | L 36 26 |
| Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios | W 62 64 | W 67 63 62 |
| Gray Voelzke | W 46 63 62 | W 76 67 75 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L 16 76 16 | L 06 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Thomas George
M15 Orlando · 2nd Round
Apr 23
Izyan Ahmad
M15 Orlando · 1st Round
Apr 21
Toby Martin
M15 Orlando · 1st Round
Apr 15
Franco Roncadelli
Bucaramanga Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 25
Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
Bucaramanga Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 24
Daniel Antonio Nunez
M25 Yerba Buena 1 · 1st Round
Mar 4
Matteo Covato
KIA Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 3
Gray Voelzke
KIA Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Luca Wiedenmann
M25 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 26
Denis Yevseyev
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Adrien Berrut
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Joshua Peck
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Oliver Sanders
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Justin Schlageter
M25 Marburg · 1st Round
Jul 1
Noah Karma
M25 Klosters · 1st Round
Jun 16
Jan Kumstat
M25 Ceska Lipa · 1st Round
Jun 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–53 matches
| Metric | Li | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 32% |
| Sets won | 54% | 35% |
| Games won | 50% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Li | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Li | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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