Christopher Li vs Matteo CovatoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Christopher Li and Matteo Covato have met 2 times since 2026; Christopher Li leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at KIA Open in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Li leads 2–0. Li has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Li has taken 4 sets to Covato's 2. Their most recent meeting: Christopher Li won at Bucaramanga Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Li | Covato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Christopher Li | Matteo Covato | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 23% | 9/39 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 12/37 | 25% | 15/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 8/16 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 36% | 14/39 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 83% | 10/12 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 18/21 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Li 0, Covato 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Li
⚔️ The Gladiator
Covato
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 900 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Covato.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 23, 2026
Bucaramanga Challenger
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Mar 3, 2026
KIA Open
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Li | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–10 |
| Avg odds | - | 5.66 |
| ROI % | - | -27.1% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.79u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Li and Covato posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Li | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Felipe De Dios | W 76 64 | W 61 64 |
| Andrew Fenty | L 06 06 | L 36 26 |
| Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios | W 62 64 | W 67 63 62 |
| Gray Voelzke | W 46 63 62 | W 76 67 75 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L 16 76 16 | L 06 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Thomas George
M15 Orlando · 2nd Round
Apr 23
Izyan Ahmad
M15 Orlando · 1st Round
Apr 21
Toby Martin
M15 Orlando · 1st Round
Apr 15
Franco Roncadelli
Bucaramanga Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 25
Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
Bucaramanga Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 24
Matteo Covato
Bucaramanga Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Mar 23
Gray Voelzke
Bucaramanga Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 22
Daniel Antonio Nunez
M25 Yerba Buena 1 · 1st Round
Mar 4
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M15 Quito · Semifinals
Oct 10
Felipe De Dios
M15 Quito · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Mwendwa Mbithi
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Dakotah Bobo
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 6
Stefan Seifert
M15 Forbach · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Victor Barrere
M15 Forbach · 1st Round
Sep 22
Izan Almazan Valiente
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Leo Raquillet
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–61 matches
| Metric | Li | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 36% |
| Sets won | 59% | 39% |
| Games won | 51% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Li | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Li | Covato |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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