Chloe Paquet vs Sarah Van EmstPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทChloe Paquet
#293 ยท 31 yrs ยท Right-Handed
51 meeting ยท sets 1โ2
๐ณ๐ฑSarah Van Emst
#529 ยท 21 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4w3Chloe Paquet and Sarah Van Emst have met 1 time since 2025; Sarah Van Emst leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Paquet has taken 1 sets to Emst's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sarah Van Emst won at W50 Koksijde 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paquet | Van Emst | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chloe Paquet | Sarah Van Emst | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 12/15 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 12/26 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 15/41 | 46% | 19/41 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 11/18 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 12/20 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paquet 0, Van Emst 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paquet
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Emst
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Chloe Paquet.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 5, 2025
W50 Koksijde 1
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paquet | Emst | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chloe Paquet | Sarah Van Emst | ||
| 1 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Paquet | Emst |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ9 | 4โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -35.1% | -13.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.96u | -1.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paquet | Emst |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | POR โ ITA | KAZ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Paquet has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Emst's 0%).
| Opponent | Paquet | Emst |
|---|---|---|
| Britt Du Pree | W 76 61 | L 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ariana Geerlings
W75 Bytom ยท 1st Round
Aug 26
Rada Zolotareva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Francesca Jones
Axeria Open - Targu Mures ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Valentina Ivanov
W75 Olomouc ยท 1st Round
Jul 15
Lia Karatancheva
W75 The Hague ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Justina Mikulskyte
W75 The Hague ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Ekaterine Gorgodze
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Julia Stusek
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen ยท 1st Round
Jul 1
Jule Niemeier
W50 Knokke-Heist ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Margaux Maquet
W50 Knokke-Heist ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Anouck Vrancken Peeters
W50 Knokke-Heist ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Maria Martinez Vaquero
W50 Knokke-Heist ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Arantxa Rus
W75 The Hague ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Eva Marie Voracek
W35 Amstelveen ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Lavinia Tanasie
W35 Amstelveen ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Camilla Zanolini
W35 Ystad ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ41 matches
| Metric | Paquet | Emst |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 54% |
| Sets won | 43% | 53% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paquet | Emst |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W50 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paquet | Emst |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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