Chloe Paquet vs Maria Lourdes CarlePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Chloe Paquet
#313 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4w3 meetings · sets 4–2
🇦🇷Maria Lourdes Carle
#238 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Chloe Paquet and Maria Lourdes Carle have met 3 times since 2024; Chloe Paquet leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Puerto Vallarta Open - Puerto Vallarta in 2024 on hard. On clay courts Paquet leads 2–0. Paquet has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Paquet has taken 4 sets to Carle's 2. Their most recent meeting: Chloe Paquet won at UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paquet | Lourdes Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chloe Paquet | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 15/32 | 43% | 13/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 22/52 | 47% | 26/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 9/24 | 20% | 4/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 14/26 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 48% | 13/27 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paquet 2, Lourdes Carle 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paquet
💥 Big Hitter
Carle
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Chloe Paquet.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 22, 2024
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 18, 2024
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 19, 2024
Puerto Vallarta Open - Puerto Vallarta
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paquet | Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chloe Paquet | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paquet | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -54.3% | -41.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.43u | -5.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paquet | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | BRA | ESP → SRB → UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carle has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Paquet's 33%).
| Opponent | Paquet | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Valeriya Strakhova | L 63 16 36 | W 64 62 |
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | L 06 36 | L 57 76 46 |
| Martina Capurro Taborda | W 75 16 62 | L 36 63 26 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 46 46 | L 46 67 |
| Anastasiia Sobolieva | L 16 16 | W |
| Maria Timofeeva | W 63 76 | W 26 60 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jazmin Ortenzi
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Justina Mikulskyte
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Martina Capurro Taborda
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 12
Valeriya Strakhova
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · 1st Round
Sep 2
Ariana Geerlings
W75 Bytom · 1st Round
Aug 26
Rada Zolotareva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
W75 Leipzig · 1st Round
Aug 4
Francesca Jones
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round
Jul 28
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W50 Lexington · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Valeriya Strakhova
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Nuria Brancaccio
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 22
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rositsa Dencheva
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Eva Vedder
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Gina Feistel
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 8
Federica Urgesi
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–55 matches
| Metric | Paquet | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 45% |
| Sets won | 44% | 46% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paquet | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paquet | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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