Chloe Paquet vs Maria Lourdes CarlePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Chloe Paquet
#293 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
53 meetings · sets 4–2
🇦🇷Maria Lourdes Carle
#219 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
5wChloe Paquet and Maria Lourdes Carle have met 3 times since 2024; Chloe Paquet leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Puerto Vallarta Open - Puerto Vallarta in 2024 on hard. On clay courts Paquet leads 2–0. Paquet has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Paquet has taken 4 sets to Carle's 2. Their most recent meeting: Chloe Paquet won at UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paquet | Lourdes Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chloe Paquet | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 12/15 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 12/26 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 15/41 | 40% | 17/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 11/18 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 65% | 13/20 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 12/20 | 55% | 12/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paquet 2, Lourdes Carle 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paquet
💥 Big Hitter
Carle
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,059 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Chloe Paquet.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 22, 2024
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 18, 2024
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 19, 2024
Puerto Vallarta Open - Puerto Vallarta
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paquet | Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chloe Paquet | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| 1 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 3 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paquet | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -35.1% | +29.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.96u | +2.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paquet | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POR → ITA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Paquet and Carle posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Paquet | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Blinkova | L 46 46 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ariana Geerlings
W75 Bytom · 1st Round
Aug 26
Rada Zolotareva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Francesca Jones
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round
Jul 28
Valentina Ivanov
W75 Olomouc · 1st Round
Jul 15
Lia Karatancheva
W75 The Hague · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Justina Mikulskyte
W75 The Hague · 1st Round
Jul 7
Ekaterine Gorgodze
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Julia Stusek
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 1st Round
Jul 1
Emma Lene
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · 1st Round
Jul 28
Anhelina Kalinina
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Jule Niemeier
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 21
Marina Bassols Ribera
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Barbora Palicova
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Kathinka Von Deichmann
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 14
Anna Blinkova
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Laura Pigossi
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–43 matches
| Metric | Paquet | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 47% |
| Sets won | 43% | 48% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paquet | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paquet | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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