Chia Yi Tsao vs Mutsumi UemuraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chia Yi Tsao and Mutsumi Uemura have met 1 time since 2026; Mutsumi Uemura leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tsao has taken 0 sets to Uemura's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mutsumi Uemura won at W15 Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yi Tsao | Uemura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chia Yi Tsao | Mutsumi Uemura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 6/15 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 13/40 | 35% | 12/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 8% | 1/13 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 5/6 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 55% | 11/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yi Tsao 0, Uemura 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tsao
💥 Big Hitter
Uemura
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Chia Yi Tsao.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 1, 2026
W15 Brisbane
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tsao | Uemura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chia Yi Tsao | Mutsumi Uemura | ||
| 1 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsao | Uemura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | -8.4% | +7.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.76u | +1.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tsao | Uemura |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | KAZ → ITA | KAZ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tsao has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Uemura's 43%).
| Opponent | Tsao | Uemura |
|---|---|---|
| Amy Stevens | W 46 75 64 | W 36 64 64 |
| Belle Thompson | W 76 57 60 | L 06 57 |
| Lily Taylor | L 36 46 | W 64 57 60 |
| Sae Noguchi | W 76 62 | L 46 16 |
| Sakura Hosogi | L 36 63 06 | L 06 36 |
| Yuzuha Negishi | W 61 63 | W 46 62 104 |
| Shiho Tsujioka | L 46 36 | L 76 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yushan Shao
W15 Tianjin · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Yingqun Sun
W15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 12
Mutsumi Uemura
W15 Brisbane · Semifinals
Aug 1
Belle Thompson
W15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Renee Alame
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Kimiko Cooper
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 29
Natsuho Arakawa
W15 Brisbane · Semifinals
Jul 25
Fang An Lin
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Amy Stevens
W15 Brisbane · Final
Aug 2
Chia Yi Tsao
W15 Brisbane · Semifinals
Aug 1
Sarah Mildren
W15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Lily Taylor
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Ava Beck
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 29
Natsuki Yoshimoto
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Rianna Alame
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 22
Belle Thompson
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–40 matches
| Metric | Tsao | Uemura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 50% |
| Sets won | 60% | 50% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tsao | Uemura |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tsao | Uemura |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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