Cezar Cretu vs Maks KasnikowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Olbia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 8:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.36 or shorter, Maks Kasnikowski has won 35 of 44 (80%). The price implied 77%, so Maks Kasnikowski has beaten it by 3 points.
At 3.09 or longer, Cezar Cretu has won 5 of 17 (29%). The price implied 25%, so Cezar Cretu has beaten it by 4 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Cezar Cretu meets Maks Kasnikowski in the first round of the Olbia Challenger on October 12, a hard court event featuring two mid-ranked players making their case for movement. Cretu holds the 276 ranking to Kasnikowski's 238, though both arrive with uneven recent records.
The two have never faced each other. Cretu has won 3 of his last 5 matches and carries a 60% record on hard courts over a recent sample, though he arrives on a two-match losing streak. Kasnikowski has struggled more noticeably, winning only 2 of his last 5 and sitting at 50% on hard, while carrying a three-match slide into this contest.
Cretu plays a relentless baseline game built on consistency and physical presence; his record against common opponents shows mixed results but includes a win over Alejo Sanchez Quilez. Kasnikowski operates as a more rounded player capable of adapting across court positions, yet has dropped recent matches against several opponents Cretu has tested or beaten. The match will test whether Cretu's current momentum and hard court comfort can withstand Kasnikowski's technical versatility on a surface where both players have room to improve.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cretu | Kasnikowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cezar Cretu | Maks Kasnikowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 31/40 | 79% | 42/53 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 18/63 | 35% | 29/83 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 19/30 | 62% | 38/61 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 20/29 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 83% | 10/12 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 36/41 | 82% | 47/57 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 31/41 | 74% | 42/57 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cretu
⚔️ The Gladiator
Kasnikowski
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maks Kasnikowski.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Cretu and Kasnikowski have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cretu | Kasnikowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cezar Cretu | Maks Kasnikowski | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cretu | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +0.4% | -27.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.04u | -4.35u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cretu | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasnikowski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Cretu's 60%).
| Opponent | Cretu | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | W 61 63 | L 57 67 |
| Miguel Damas | W 76 76 | W 76 61 |
| Sumit Nagal | L 26 46 | W 46 63 60 |
| Lorenzo Giustino | L 57 46 | W 64 76 |
| Iliyan Radulov | W 62 63 | W 57 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Henrique Rocha
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Harold Mayot
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Facundo Mena
Augsburg Challenger · Final
Aug 29
Sandro Kopp
Augsburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 28
Marvin Moeller
Augsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Miguel Damas
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Niels McDonald
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Maxim Mrva
Prague Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Philip Henning
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alex de Minaur
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Francesco Maestrelli
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Christian Langmo
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elmer Moller
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–83 matches
| Metric | Cretu | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 64% |
| Sets won | 62% | 64% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |