Cedrik-Marcel Stebe vs Jay FriendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe and Jay Friend have met 1 time since 2025; Cedrik-Marcel Stebe leads 1–0. Across all meetings Stebe has taken 2 sets to Friend's 0. Their most recent meeting: Cedrik-Marcel Stebe won at Champaign Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Stebe | Friend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cedrik-Marcel Stebe | Jay Friend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 6/9 | 70% | 21/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 3/6 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 6/15 | 35% | 16/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 3/7 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 6/9 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 6/9 | 75% | 21/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Stebe 1, Friend 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stebe
🪃 Counterpuncher
Friend
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 12, 2025
Champaign Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Stebe | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 7–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.69 |
| ROI % | - | +30.6% |
| Units P/L | - | +2.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Friend has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Stebe's 33%).
| Opponent | Stebe | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Martinez | W 36 63 75 | W 61 62 |
| Mitchell Krueger | L 16 16 | W 62 63 |
| Stefan Kozlov | L 63 26 36 | W 62 46 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stefan Kozlov
Cleveland Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 2
Mitchell Krueger
San Diego Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 27
Thanapet Chanta
Bangkok Open 2 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Pedro Martinez
Bengaluru Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jan 8
Borna Gojo
Bengaluru Challenger · 2nd Round
Jan 7
Max Houkes
Bengaluru Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 6
Alex Martinez
Champaign Challenger · Quarterfinals
Nov 14
Jay Friend
Champaign Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 12
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Ryan Seggerman
Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Yuta Kikuchi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Max Basing
Istanbul Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Yanki Erel
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Samir Hamza Reguig
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–46 matches
| Metric | Stebe | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 65% |
| Sets won | 58% | 62% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Stebe | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Stebe | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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