Cedrik-Marcel Stebe vs Jay FriendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe and Jay Friend have met 1 time since 2025; Cedrik-Marcel Stebe leads 1–0. Across all meetings Stebe has taken 2 sets to Friend's 0. Their most recent meeting: Cedrik-Marcel Stebe won at Champaign Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Stebe | Friend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cedrik-Marcel Stebe | Jay Friend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 7/10 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 4/9 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 7/19 | 45% | 15/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 4/8 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 7/10 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Stebe 1, Friend 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stebe
🪃 Counterpuncher
Friend
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jay Friend.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 12, 2025
Champaign Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Stebe | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 8–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.32 |
| ROI % | - | +3.1% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.31u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Friend has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Stebe's 50%).
| Opponent | Stebe | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Martinez | W 36 63 75 | W 61 62 |
| Mitchell Krueger | L 16 16 | W 62 63 |
| Stefan Kozlov | L 63 26 36 | W 62 46 63 |
| Oliver Tarvet | W 63 76 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stefan Kozlov
Cleveland Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 2
Mitchell Krueger
San Diego Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 27
Thanapet Chanta
Bangkok Open 2 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 11
Pedro Martinez
Bengaluru Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jan 8
Borna Gojo
Bengaluru Challenger · 2nd Round
Jan 7
Max Houkes
Bengaluru Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 6
Alex Martinez
Champaign Challenger · Quarterfinals
Nov 14
Jay Friend
Champaign Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 12
Yuta Shimizu
Granby challenger
Jul 14
Keegan Rice
M25 Laval · Semifinals
Jul 11
Strong Kirchheimer
M25 Laval · Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Cole Thurgur
M25 Laval · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Eloi Roux
M25 Laval · 1st Round
Jul 8
Eloi Roux
Futures 2026
Jul 8
Braden Shick
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Alex Martinez
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–33 matches
| Metric | Stebe | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 67% |
| Sets won | 53% | 62% |
| Games won | 49% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Stebe | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Stebe | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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