Cayetana Gay vs Lucia NatalPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cayetana Gay and Lucia Natal have met 1 time since 2026; Cayetana Gay leads 1–0. Across all meetings Gay has taken 2 sets to Natal's 0. Their most recent meeting: Cayetana Gay won at W15 Getxo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gay | Natal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cayetana Gay | Lucia Natal | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 8/10 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 4/8 | 8% | 1/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 6/18 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 4/6 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 8/11 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 8/11 | 100% | 8/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gay 1, Natal 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gay
⚙️ Grinder
Natal
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🛡️ The Spoiler archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,007 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lucia Natal.
The Spoiler players often use strong court coverage and strong retrieval to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
W15 Getxo
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gay | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | - | 4.17 |
| ROI % | - | -41.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kateryna Lazarenko
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Lisa Claeys
W15 Getxo · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Lucia Natal
W15 Getxo · 1st Round
Jul 1
Lucia Natal Gomez
Getxo ITF · Round of 32
Jul 1
Carolyn Ansari
W50 Palma Del Rio · 1st Round
Jun 23
Valentina Losciale
W50 Palma Del Rio · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Claudia Sanchez Gonzalez
W50 Palma Del Rio · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Ruth Roura Llaverias
W15 Madrid · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Ashley Lahey
W15 Badalona · 1st Round
Sep 2
Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Anais Gabriel
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 1st Round
Jul 22
Carlota Vila Salles
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 21
Noah Rojas Hernandez
W15 Las Palmas de Gran Canaria · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Nina Radovanovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Charlotte Pikkaart
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Ariana Geerlings
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–26 matches
| Metric | Gay | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 12% |
| Sets won | 57% | 47% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gay | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gay | Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.