Carolina Alves vs Francesca MattioliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Carolina Alves
#313 · 30 yrs
Title1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇮🇹Francesca Mattioli
Unranked · 19 yrs
4wCarolina Alves and Francesca Mattioli have met 1 time since 2026; Carolina Alves leads 1–0. Across all meetings Alves has taken 2 sets to Mattioli's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carolina Alves won at W35 Cuiaba (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alves | Mattioli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carolina Alves | Francesca Mattioli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 28/36 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 17/58 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 20/35 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 7/16 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 28/34 | 67% | 6/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alves 1, Mattioli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mattioli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Carolina Alves and Francesca Mattioli are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 14,668 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 10, 2026
W35 Cuiaba
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | Mattioli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carolina Alves | Francesca Mattioli | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 7/16 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | Mattioli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 2.98 |
| ROI % | -4.2% | -52.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.76u | -5.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alves | Mattioli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | FIN → SRB | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alves has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mattioli's 25%).
| Opponent | Alves | Mattioli |
|---|---|---|
| Georgia Pedone | W 76 62 | L 16 26 |
| Alisa Danilova | W 60 60 | W 63 62 |
| Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | W 62 63 | L 76 67 36 |
| Noelia Zeballos | W 64 76 | L 76 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lan Mi
W35 Barueri · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca
W35 Barueri · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe
W35 Barueri · 1st Round
Aug 26
Victoria Bosio
W35 Pergamino · Final
Aug 2
Georgia Pedone
W35 Pergamino · Semifinals
Aug 1
Fernanda Labrana
W35 Pergamino · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Isabella Barrera Aguirre
W35 Pergamino · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Julia Konishi Camargo Silva
W35 Pergamino · 1st Round
Jul 28
Georgia Pedone
W35 Pergamino · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
W35 Pergamino · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rebeca Pereira
W35 Pergamino · 1st Round
Jul 29
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W75 Vacaria · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Alisa Danilova
W75 Vacaria · 1st Round
Jul 22
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
W35 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Pietra Rivoli
W35 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 15
Agustina Soto Neira
Sao Paulo 4 ITF
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–58 matches
| Metric | Alves | Mattioli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 54% |
| Sets won | 61% | 57% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | Mattioli |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | Mattioli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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