Carlota Moreno vs Kelly KellerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlota Moreno and Kelly Keller have met 1 time since 2026; Carlota Moreno leads 1–0. Across all meetings Moreno has taken 2 sets to Keller's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carlota Moreno won at W35 Florence (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moreno | Keller | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlota Moreno | Kelly Keller | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 11/14 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 1/6 | 7% | 1/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 4/20 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 3/5 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 3/7 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 3/5 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 13/13 | 92% | 12/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 11/13 | 77% | 10/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moreno 1, Keller 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moreno
🪃 Counterpuncher
Keller
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
W35 Florence
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moreno | Keller | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlota Moreno | Kelly Keller | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moreno | Keller |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 3.05 |
| ROI % | +14.4% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.15u | -1.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moreno | Keller |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | MNE → UKR | BEL → TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moreno has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Keller's 33%).
| Opponent | Moreno | Keller |
|---|---|---|
| Annabelle Xu | W 64 63 | L 26 06 |
| Sarah Ye | W 62 62 | W 36 62 108 |
| Jo Yee Chan | L 67 75 410 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Victoria Osuigwe
W50 Lexington · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Merna Refaat
W15 Nashville · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Salma Drugdova
W15 Nashville · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Maria Sholokhova
W15 Nashville · 1st Round
Sep 30
Jensen Diianni
W15 Nashville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Kate Sharabura
W15 Nashville · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Annika Penickova
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Ahmani Guichard
W35 Southaven · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Anastasia Lizunova
W35 Hurghada · 1st Round
Sep 16
Kamilla Bartone
W35 Hurghada · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 15
Maria Charl
W35 Hurghada · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Andrea Roots
W15 Hurghada · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 8
Viktoria Kurz
W15 Hurghada · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Johanna Silva
W15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Kristina Belkova
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–30 matches
| Metric | Moreno | Keller |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 53% |
| Sets won | 66% | 49% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moreno | Keller |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moreno | Keller |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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