Carles Hernandez vs Yaroslav DeminPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carles Hernandez and Yaroslav Demin have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Alcala de Henares 1 in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Hernandez has taken 2 sets to Demin's 3. Their most recent meeting: Carles Hernandez won at M25 Santander (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hernandez | Demin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carles Hernandez | Yaroslav Demin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 18/29 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 22/58 | 41% | 22/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 10/21 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 19/32 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 82% | 28/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 59% | 20/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hernandez 0, Demin 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hernandez
🧱 The Wall
Demin
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 53% vs 🧱 The Wall across 591 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yaroslav Demin.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 18, 2026
M25 Santander
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 21, 2025
M15 Alcala de Henares 1
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hernandez | Demin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carles Hernandez | Yaroslav Demin | ||
| 1 or more | 58% | 11/19 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 3 or more | 21% | 4/19 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hernandez | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–8 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | +14.1% | +70.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.95u | +4.93u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hernandez | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP | ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Demin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Hernandez's 40%).
| Opponent | Hernandez | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Parisca | W 63 62 | W 63 64 |
| Joao Domingues | L 67 57 | W 63 63 |
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | L 46 16 | L 36 16 |
| Ivan Ivanov | L 26 16 | W 61 64 |
| Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | W 46 61 61 | L 62 26 04 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Oviedo · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Ryan Nijboer
M25 Oviedo · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Oriol Font
M25 Oviedo · 1st Round
Aug 25
Imanol Lopez Morillo
M25 Santander · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Yaroslav Demin
M25 Santander · 1st Round
Aug 18
Carlos Lopez Montagud
M15 Xativa · Semifinals
Aug 2
Miguel Angel Machado
M15 Xativa · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M15 Xativa · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alexander Ritschard
M25 Oviedo · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Tristan McCormick
M25 Oviedo · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Aunion
M25 Oviedo · 1st Round
Aug 25
Carles Hernandez
M25 Santander · 1st Round
Aug 18
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Kiseljak · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Andrej Nedic
M25 Kiseljak · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Younes Lalami Laaroussi
Futures 2026
Jun 10
Younes Lalami
M25 Kiseljak · 1st Round
Jun 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–58 matches
| Metric | Hernandez | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 61% |
| Sets won | 50% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hernandez | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hernandez | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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