Carles Hernandez vs Yaroslav DeminPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carles Hernandez and Yaroslav Demin have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Alcala de Henares 1 in 2025 on hard. Across all meetings Hernandez has taken 2 sets to Demin's 3. Their most recent meeting: Carles Hernandez won at M25 Santander (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hernandez | Demin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carles Hernandez | Yaroslav Demin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 21/33 | 65% | 26/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 12/28 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 24/61 | 32% | 20/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 14/27 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 19/30 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 92% | 35/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 21/30 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hernandez 0, Demin 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hernandez
⚔️ The Gladiator
Demin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yaroslav Demin.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 18, 2026
M25 Santander
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 21, 2025
M15 Alcala de Henares 1
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hernandez | Demin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carles Hernandez | Yaroslav Demin | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 12/18 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 39% | 7/18 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hernandez | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -12.6% | -36.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.01u | -4.39u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Demin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Hernandez's 33%).
| Opponent | Hernandez | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Caspar Schuetze | W 61 61 | W 62 60 |
| Joao Domingues | L 67 57 | W 63 63 |
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | L 46 16 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Petr Nesterov
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lars Goran Verwerft
M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Tanapatt Nirundorn
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Oct 1
Samir Hamza Reguig
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Daniel Domingos
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Caspar Schuetze
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 22
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M15 Madrid · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Iannis Miletich
M15 Madrid · 1st Round
Sep 2
Akira Santillan
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Beibit Zhukayev
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Hanyi Liu
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Jack Loge
M25 Casablanca · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Niklas Schell
M25 Casablanca · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yassine Smiej
M25 Casablanca · 1st Round
Sep 2
Alexander Ritschard
M25 Oviedo · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Tristan McCormick
M25 Oviedo · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–62 matches
| Metric | Hernandez | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 65% |
| Sets won | 53% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hernandez | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hernandez | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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