Carl Emil Overbeck vs Yaroslav DeminPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Ningboo Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 27 · 12:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.81 or shorter, Yaroslav Demin has won 20 of 23 (87%). The price implied 58%, so Yaroslav Demin has beaten it by 29 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Carl Emil Overbeck and Yaroslav Demin meet next at the Ningboo Challenger on October 27 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Emil Overbeck | Demin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carl Emil Overbeck | Yaroslav Demin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 42/56 | 69% | 31/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 5/20 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 19/76 | 32% | 22/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 11/28 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 5/6 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 19/30 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 49/53 | 89% | 40/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 42/53 | 69% | 31/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Overbeck
👑 The Complete Package
Demin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Carl Emil Overbeck.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Overbeck and Demin have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Overbeck | Demin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carl Emil Overbeck | Yaroslav Demin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Overbeck | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 10–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.29 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -12.0% | -12.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.84u | -2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Overbeck | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Overbeck has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Demin's 33%).
| Opponent | Overbeck | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Dellavedova | W 36 75 62 | L 62 46 36 |
| Ivan Ivanov | W 60 76 | W 61 64 |
| Thijs Boogaard | L 67 06 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hugo Grenier
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alafia Ayeni
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Luca Potenza
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Ryan Peniston
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Marcello Serafini
M25 Fano · Final
Aug 9
Leonardo Primucci
M25 Fano · Semifinals
Aug 7
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Fano · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Gabriele Maria Noce
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Borisiouk
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 26
Qian Sun
Ningboo Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 26
Akira Santillan
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Kasidit Samrej
Guangzhou Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 19
Alexander Binda
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Qian Daohu · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Filip Peliwo
M25 Qian Daohu · 1st Round
Oct 14
Akira Santillan
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 69–76 matches
| Metric | Overbeck | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | 65% |
| Sets won | 68% | 61% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |