Carl Emil Overbeck vs Ryan PenistonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carl Emil Overbeck and Ryan Peniston have met 1 time since 2026; Carl Emil Overbeck leads 1–0. Across all meetings Overbeck has taken 2 sets to Peniston's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carl Emil Overbeck won at Manacor Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Emil Overbeck | Peniston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carl Emil Overbeck | Ryan Peniston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 43/57 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 27% | 4/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 19/78 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 11/28 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 5/6 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 19/30 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 50/54 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 43/54 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Emil Overbeck 1, Peniston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Overbeck
👑 The Complete Package
Peniston
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Carl Emil Overbeck.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 31, 2026
Manacor Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Overbeck | Peniston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carl Emil Overbeck | Ryan Peniston | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Overbeck | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 1–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.29 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -12.0% | -74.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.84u | -4.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Overbeck | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 461 mi · 742 km |
| Route | POR | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Overbeck has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Peniston's 50%).
| Opponent | Overbeck | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Ivan Ivanov | W 60 76 | L 06 63 46 |
| Shunsuke Nakagawa | W 46 61 62 | W 62 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hugo Grenier
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alafia Ayeni
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Luca Potenza
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Ryan Peniston
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Marcello Serafini
M25 Fano · Final
Aug 9
Leonardo Primucci
M25 Fano · Semifinals
Aug 7
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Fano · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Gabriele Maria Noce
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Olbia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Filippo Romano
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jelle Sels
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Daniel Jade
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Daniil Glinka
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Carl Emil Overbeck
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Ivan Ivanov
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 24
Max Basing
M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio 2 · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–78 matches
| Metric | Overbeck | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 29% |
| Sets won | 68% | 33% |
| Games won | 56% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Overbeck | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Overbeck | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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