Carl Emil Overbeck vs Marcello SerafiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carl Emil Overbeck and Marcello Serafini have met 1 time since 2026; Carl Emil Overbeck leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Overbeck leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Overbeck has taken 2 sets to Serafini's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carl Emil Overbeck won at M25 Fano (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Emil Overbeck | Serafini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carl Emil Overbeck | Marcello Serafini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 43/57 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 19/78 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 11/28 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 5/6 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 19/30 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 50/54 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 43/54 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Emil Overbeck 1, Serafini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Overbeck
👑 The Complete Package
Serafini
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 67% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 34 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Carl Emil Overbeck.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 9, 2026
M25 Fano
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Overbeck | Serafini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carl Emil Overbeck | Marcello Serafini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Overbeck | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 7–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.29 | 2.25 |
| ROI % | -12.0% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.84u | +3.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Overbeck | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Overbeck has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Serafini's 50%).
| Opponent | Overbeck | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Alberto Barroso Campos | W 75 75 | L 46 36 |
| Mika Petkovic | W 46 63 76 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hugo Grenier
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alafia Ayeni
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Luca Potenza
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Ryan Peniston
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Marcello Serafini
M25 Fano · Final
Aug 9
Leonardo Primucci
M25 Fano · Semifinals
Aug 7
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Fano · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Gabriele Maria Noce
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Andrea De Marchi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Tristan McCormick
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 14
Giovanni Oradini
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 3
Gabriele Crivellaro
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Fano · Final
Aug 9
Massimo Giunta
M25 Fano · Semifinals
Aug 7
Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Fano · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Peter Buldorini
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–78 matches
| Metric | Overbeck | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 51% |
| Sets won | 68% | 49% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Overbeck | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Overbeck | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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