Carl Emil Overbeck vs Marcello SerafiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇰Carl Emil Overbeck
#293 · 25 yrs · R
3wTitle1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇮🇹Marcello Serafini
#919 · 23 yrs · R
3wCarl Emil Overbeck and Marcello Serafini have met 1 time since 2026; Carl Emil Overbeck leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Overbeck leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Overbeck has taken 2 sets to Serafini's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carl Emil Overbeck won at M25 Fano (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Emil Overbeck | Serafini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carl Emil Overbeck | Marcello Serafini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 46/59 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 5/20 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 18/79 | 41% | 14/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 19/32 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 53/57 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 46/57 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Emil Overbeck 1, Serafini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Overbeck
👑 The Complete Package
Serafini
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 65 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Carl Emil Overbeck.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 9, 2026
M25 Fano
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Overbeck | Serafini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carl Emil Overbeck | Marcello Serafini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 23/23 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 20/23 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 16/23 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 4/23 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Overbeck | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | +118.5% | +46.0% |
| Units P/L | +20.15u | +7.82u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Overbeck | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | DEN → ITA | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Overbeck has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Serafini's 50%).
| Opponent | Overbeck | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Alberto Barroso Campos | W 75 75 | L 46 36 |
| Mika Petkovic | W 46 63 76 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marcello Serafini
M25 Fano · Final
Aug 9
Leonardo Primucci
M25 Fano · Semifinals
Aug 7
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Fano · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Gabriele Maria Noce
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tobia Grandinetti
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Petr Nesterov
M25 Gentofte · Final
Aug 2
Ivan Ivanov
M25 Gentofte · Semifinals
Aug 1
Jonas Eriksson Ziverts
M25 Gentofte · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Fano · Final
Aug 9
Massimo Giunta
M25 Fano · Semifinals
Aug 7
Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Fano · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Peter Buldorini
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 3
John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Wels · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alexander Gschiel
M15 Wels · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pierluigi Basile
M15 Gubbio · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–79 matches
| Metric | Overbeck | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 50% |
| Sets won | 70% | 46% |
| Games won | 57% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Overbeck | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Overbeck | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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