Carl Emil Overbeck vs Lucas GerchPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carl Emil Overbeck and Lucas Gerch have met 1 time since 2026; Carl Emil Overbeck leads 1–0. Across all meetings Overbeck has taken 2 sets to Gerch's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carl Emil Overbeck won at M25 Nussloch 1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Emil Overbeck | Gerch | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carl Emil Overbeck | Lucas Gerch | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 43/57 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 19/78 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 11/28 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 5/6 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 19/30 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 50/54 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 43/54 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Emil Overbeck 1, Gerch 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Overbeck
👑 The Complete Package
Gerch
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lucas Gerch.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 28, 2026
M25 Nussloch 1
? Carpet · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Overbeck | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.29 | - |
| ROI % | -12.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.84u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Overbeck | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hugo Grenier
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alafia Ayeni
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Luca Potenza
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Ryan Peniston
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Marcello Serafini
M25 Fano · Final
Aug 9
Leonardo Primucci
M25 Fano · Semifinals
Aug 7
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Fano · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Gabriele Maria Noce
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Pepijn Bastiaansen
M25 Marburg · 1st Round
Jul 1
Pepijn Bastiaansen
Futures 2026
Jul 1
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Nussloch 1 · 1st Round
Jan 28
Alec Deckers
M15 Offenbach 1 · 1st Round
Oct 14
Adrian Oetzbach
Villena · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kristjan Tamm
M25 Falun 1 · 1st Round
Sep 23
Henry Bernet
M25 Lausanne 1 · Final
Sep 7
Ioannis Xilas
M25 Lausanne 1 · Semifinals
Sep 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 3–78 matches
| Metric | Overbeck | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 0% |
| Sets won | 68% | 0% |
| Games won | 56% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Overbeck | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Overbeck | Gerch |
|---|---|---|
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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