Carl Emil Overbeck vs Daniil OstapenkovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇰Carl Emil Overbeck
#293 · 25 yrs · R
3wTitle1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇧🇾Daniil Ostapenkov
#548 · 23 yrs · R
4wCarl Emil Overbeck and Daniil Ostapenkov have met 1 time since 2026; Carl Emil Overbeck leads 1–0. Across all meetings Overbeck has taken 2 sets to Ostapenkov's 1. Their most recent meeting: Carl Emil Overbeck won at M25 Porto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Emil Overbeck | Ostapenkov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carl Emil Overbeck | Daniil Ostapenkov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 46/59 | 86% | 36/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 5/20 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 18/79 | 17% | 11/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 76% | 25/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 19/32 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 53/57 | 93% | 39/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 46/57 | 86% | 36/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Emil Overbeck 0, Ostapenkov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Overbeck
👑 The Complete Package
Ostapenkov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 26, 2026
M25 Porto
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Overbeck | Ostapenkov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carl Emil Overbeck | Daniil Ostapenkov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 23/23 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 20/23 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 16/23 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 4/23 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 13% | 1/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Overbeck | Ostapenkov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | +118.5% | +4.6% |
| Units P/L | +20.15u | +0.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Overbeck | Ostapenkov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | DEN → ITA | TUR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Overbeck has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ostapenkov's 60%).
| Opponent | Overbeck | Ostapenkov |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelos Kypriotis | W 64 62 | W 62 61 |
| Tiago Torres | W 26 62 62 | L 26 46 |
| Mae Malige | W 76 62 | L 36 16 |
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | W 64 26 64 | W 62 46 64 |
| Yuta Kikuchi | W 64 62 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marcello Serafini
M25 Fano · Final
Aug 9
Leonardo Primucci
M25 Fano · Semifinals
Aug 7
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Fano · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Gabriele Maria Noce
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tobia Grandinetti
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Petr Nesterov
M25 Gentofte · Final
Aug 2
Ivan Ivanov
M25 Gentofte · Semifinals
Aug 1
Jonas Eriksson Ziverts
M25 Gentofte · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Florent Bax
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Tiago Torres
M25 Figueira da Foz · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Lui Maxted
M25 Figueira da Foz · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rohan Mehra
M25 Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rohan Mehra
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Porto · Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Tiago Pereira
M25 Porto · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–79 matches
| Metric | Overbeck | Ostapenkov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 65% |
| Sets won | 70% | 64% |
| Games won | 57% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Overbeck | Ostapenkov |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Overbeck | Ostapenkov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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