Cara Korhonen vs Francesca MattioliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cara Korhonen and Francesca Mattioli have met 1 time since 2026; Francesca Mattioli leads 1–0. Across all meetings Korhonen has taken 0 sets to Mattioli's 2. Their most recent meeting: Francesca Mattioli won at W35 Las Vegas (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Korhonen | Mattioli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cara Korhonen | Francesca Mattioli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 4/5 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 8% | 1/12 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 12% | 2/17 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 1/1 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 4/10 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 83% | 5/6 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 5/5 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 67% | 10/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Korhonen 0, Mattioli 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Korhonen
⚙️ Grinder
Mattioli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 66% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,088 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesca Mattioli.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 5, 2026
W35 Las Vegas
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Korhonen | Mattioli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–2 | 7–4 |
| Avg odds | 9.07 | 2.88 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +20.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | +2.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Korhonen | Mattioli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BEL | MNE → BEL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mattioli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Korhonen's 0%).
| Opponent | Korhonen | Mattioli |
|---|---|---|
| Ayanna Maria Mitu | L 62 16 310 | W 60 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesca Mattioli
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Rachel Gailis
W15 Hameenlinna · 1st Round
Aug 5
Valentini Grammatikopoulou
W15 Savitaipale · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pia Lovric
W35 Torino · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Ayanna Maria Mitu
W35 Buzau · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Marie Mettraux
W15 Mogyorod · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Kitti Molnar
W15 Mogyorod · 1st Round
Jul 1
Ha Eum Lee
W15 Swan Hill 1 · 2nd Round
Mar 26
Edda Mamedova
W35 Las Vegas · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Victoria Bosio
W35 Las Vegas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Duru Soke
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 7
Anita Sahdiieva
W35 Las Vegas · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Cara Korhonen
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Rose Marie Nijkamp
W15 Nashville · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Eva Maria Ionescu
W15 Nashville · 1st Round
Sep 30
Georgia Pedone
W35 Pergamino · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 17–22 matches
| Metric | Korhonen | Mattioli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 29% | 64% |
| Sets won | 31% | 62% |
| Games won | 42% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Korhonen | Mattioli |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Korhonen | Mattioli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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