Calvin Hemery vs Gilles Arnaud BaillyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Calvin Hemery
#309 · 31 yrs · R
Title2 meetings · sets 2–1
🇧🇪Gilles Arnaud Bailly
#337 · 21 yrs · R
5wCalvin Hemery and Gilles Arnaud Bailly have met 2 times since 2023; Calvin Hemery leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Lisbon Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Hemery leads 2–0. Hemery has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Hemery has taken 2 sets to Bailly's 1. Their most recent meeting: Calvin Hemery won at Seville Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hemery | Arnaud Bailly | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Calvin Hemery | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | 70% | 19/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 23/60 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 19/34 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 14/22 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 29/37 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 22/37 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hemery 0, Arnaud Bailly 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hemery
💥 Big Hitter
Bailly
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Calvin Hemery.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 7, 2026
Seville Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 5, 2023
Lisbon Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hemery | Bailly | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Calvin Hemery | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 5 or more | 42% | 8/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hemery | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -2.0% | -52.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.39u | -4.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hemery | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | BUL | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bailly has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Hemery's 43%).
| Opponent | Hemery | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Esteban Inostroza Alfaro | L 63 46 210 | W 63 60 |
| Daniel Elahi Galan | W 67 76 76 | W 76 62 |
| Timofey Skatov | L 16 36 | L 46 26 |
| Hynek Barton | L 57 57 | L 36 26 |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | W 63 61 | L 57 26 |
| Alejandro Moro Canas | L 76 36 67 | W 75 67 62 |
| Ryan Nijboer | W 64 64 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Esteban Inostroza Alfaro
M15 Monastir · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Max Houkes
M25 Kigali · Semifinals
Oct 10
Marlon Vankan
M25 Kigali · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Benjamin Lock
M25 Kigali · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Niklas Grunewald
M25 Kigali · 1st Round
Oct 7
Benjamin Lock
M25 Kigali · Final
Oct 4
Florent Bax
M25 Kigali · Semifinals
Oct 3
Dev Javia
M25 Kigali · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Calvin Hemery
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Hugo Dellien
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alex Barrena
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Norbert Gombos
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Raphael Perot
M25 Koksijde · Semifinals
Aug 15
Fadi Bidan
M25 Koksijde · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Mac Visser
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–61 matches
| Metric | Hemery | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 48% |
| Sets won | 56% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hemery | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hemery | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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