Bryce Nakashima vs Theodore DeanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bryce Nakashima and Theodore Dean have met 1 time since 2026; Theodore Dean leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 0 sets to Dean's 2. Their most recent meeting: Theodore Dean won at M15 Rancho Santa Fe (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Dean | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bryce Nakashima | Theodore Dean | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 18/22 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 2/10 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 6/32 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 86% | 12/14 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 14/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 79% | 11/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 0, Dean 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
💥 Big Hitter
Dean
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 374 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Bryce Nakashima.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 8, 2026
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Dean | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bryce Nakashima | Theodore Dean | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Dean |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.80 | 2.49 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -51.5% |
| Units P/L | +3.12u | -3.09u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Dean |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 2,109 mi · 3,394 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Dean's 40%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Dean |
|---|---|---|
| Aadarsh Tripathi | W 61 61 | W 63 64 |
| Aidan Kim | W 62 76 | L 67 26 |
| Maxwell Exsted | W 63 62 | L 46 76 46 |
| Spencer Johnson | L 46 36 | L 16 67 |
| Henry Wilson | W 62 63 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keegan Smith
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jack Kennedy
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Darwin Blanch
Tiburon Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Timo Legout
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Andre Ilagan
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Quinn Vandecasteele
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Kaylan Bigun
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Jakub Vrba
M15 Champaign · Final
Aug 30
Pablo Aunion
M25 Gijon · 1st Round
Sep 8
Martin Van Der Meerschen
M15 Madrid · 1st Round
Sep 2
Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marcel Zielinski
M15 Mistelbach · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luc Wieland
M15 Mistelbach · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Aadarsh Tripathi
M15 Mistelbach · 1st Round
Aug 19
Stian Klaassen
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Bryce Nakashima
M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 1st Round
Jul 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–36 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Dean |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 58% |
| Sets won | 66% | 54% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Dean |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Dean |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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