Bryce Nakashima vs Quinn VandecasteelePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bryce Nakashima and Quinn Vandecasteele have met 1 time since 2026; Bryce Nakashima leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 2 sets to Vandecasteele's 0. Their most recent meeting: Bryce Nakashima won at Tiburon Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Vandecasteele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bryce Nakashima | Quinn Vandecasteele | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 18/22 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 2/10 | 41% | 14/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 6/32 | 30% | 23/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 86% | 12/14 | 53% | 23/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 19/20 | 82% | 36/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 75% | 33/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Vandecasteele 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
💥 Big Hitter
Vandecasteele
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Bryce Nakashima and Quinn Vandecasteele are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 14, 2026
Tiburon Challenger
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Vandecasteele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bryce Nakashima | Quinn Vandecasteele | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.80 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | -14.1% |
| Units P/L | +3.12u | -2.26u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,109 mi · 3,394 km | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Vandecasteele's 50%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Keegan Smith | L 46 63 57 | W 76 64 |
| Preston Stearns | W 62 76 | W 62 46 62 |
| Noah Zamora | W 63 64 | W 61 75 |
| Maxwell Exsted | W 63 62 | L 62 46 46 |
| Aidan Kim | W 62 76 | L 67 36 |
| Henry Wilson | W 62 63 | W 63 64 |
| Kenta Miyoshi | W 46 62 75 | L 36 57 |
| Gavin Young | L 67 57 | L 76 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keegan Smith
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jack Kennedy
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Darwin Blanch
Tiburon Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Timo Legout
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Andre Ilagan
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Quinn Vandecasteele
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Kaylan Bigun
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Jakub Vrba
M15 Champaign · Final
Aug 30
Daniil Ostapenkov
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Preston Stearns
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Daniil Ostapenkov
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Bryce Nakashima
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Noah Zamora
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Li Tu
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–76 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 55% |
| Sets won | 66% | 56% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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