Bryce Nakashima vs Preston StearnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bryce Nakashima and Preston Stearns have met 1 time since 2026; Bryce Nakashima leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 2 sets to Stearns's 0. Their most recent meeting: Bryce Nakashima won at M15 Champaign (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bryce Nakashima | Preston Stearns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 18/22 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 2/10 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 6/32 | 17% | 2/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 86% | 12/14 | 100% | 5/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 19/20 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 89% | 8/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 1, Stearns 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
💥 Big Hitter
Stearns
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Bryce Nakashima and Preston Stearns are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 29, 2026
M15 Champaign
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Stearns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bryce Nakashima | Preston Stearns | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +20.8% | +5.5% |
| Units P/L | +3.12u | +0.33u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 2,109 mi · 3,394 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakashima has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Stearns's 0%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Quinn Vandecasteele | W 62 64 | L 26 64 26 |
| Jack Anthrop | W 63 64 | L 64 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keegan Smith
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jack Kennedy
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Darwin Blanch
Tiburon Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Timo Legout
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Andre Ilagan
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Quinn Vandecasteele
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Kaylan Bigun
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Jakub Vrba
M15 Champaign · Final
Aug 30
Quinn Vandecasteele
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Bryce Nakashima
M15 Champaign · Semifinals
Aug 29
Marko Mesarovic
M15 Champaign · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Joshua Peck
M15 Champaign · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Joshua Peck
M15 Champaign · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Noa Vukadin
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 26
Jon Gamble
M15 Champaign · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Emmanuel Alex
M15 Champaign · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–32 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 67% |
| Sets won | 66% | 69% |
| Games won | 56% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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