Bruno Fernandez vs Mateo CastañedaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bruno Fernandez and Mateo Castañeda have met 1 time since 2025; Bruno Fernandez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 2 sets to Castañeda's 1. Their most recent meeting: Bruno Fernandez won at M15 Ibague 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Castañeda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bruno Fernandez | Mateo Castañeda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 8/25 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 18% | 2/11 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 13/25 | 100% | 1/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 0, Castañeda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
🧱 The Wall
Castañeda
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
🧱 The Wall vs 🛡️ The Spoiler is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 122 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 29, 2025
M15 Ibague 1
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–8 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 3.14 | 10.91 |
| ROI % | -81.6% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -7.34u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → SLO | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Castañeda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Fernandez's 0%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| Hazem Naow | L 36 63 16 | W 60 63 |
| Juan Bautista Torres | L 57 46 | L 36 57 |
| Salvador Price | L 46 16 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hazem Naow
M15 Allershausen · 1st Round
Aug 25
Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Niklas Schell
M15 Trier · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Luca Castagnola
M15 Trier · 1st Round
Aug 12
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Quito Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Nicolas Kicker
Piracicaba Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 25
Nick Hardt
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Dmitry Popko
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 5
Jesse Flores
Bogota (Los Lagartos) · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 23
Santiago Lora
M25 Cochabamba 1 · 1st Round
Nov 18
Bruno Fernandez
M15 Ibague 1 · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Michael Alejandro Beltran Rubio
M15 Ibague · Round of 32
Oct 29
Michael Beltran Rubio
M15 Ibague 1 · 1st Round
Oct 28
Juan Bautista Torres
Cali · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Salvador Price
M25 Londrina 1 · 1st Round
Sep 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–48 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 14% |
| Sets won | 46% | 20% |
| Games won | 50% | 37% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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