Bruno Fernandez vs Mate ValkuszPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M15 Budapest
- Level
- ITF M15
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 11 · 4:05 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.27 or shorter, Mate Valkusz has won 21 of 25 (84%). The price implied 81%, so Mate Valkusz has beaten it by 3 points.
At 3.39 or longer, Bruno Fernandez has won 3 of 15 (20%). That is level with the 21% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Bruno Fernandez and Mate Valkusz meet in the quarterfinals of the M15 Budapest on clay on September 11. Fernandez carries a ranking of 648 to the court; Valkusz sits at 758. The two have never played before.
Valkusz holds a 3-0 record against their shared opponents this year, including wins over Carlos Maria Zarate, Ignacio Parisca, and Stefan Popovic. Fernandez has won 4 of his last 5 matches but also appears in tournament play frequently, with six matches in the past two weeks. Valkusz has won 7 of his last 10 overall and arrives with a two-match winning streak after just two matches in the past fortnight.
Both players operate with an aggressive baseline approach, relying on power and consistency from the back of the court. On clay, Valkusz has posted a 65% win rate across his recent sample, while Fernandez has converted 40% of his clay matches. Fernandez's form remains sharp at the moment, yet Valkusz's comfort on this surface and superior performance against their common opponents present clear variables in determining how this quarterfinal unfolds.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Valkusz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bruno Fernandez | Mate Valkusz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 16/27 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 8/25 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 10/23 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 13/23 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 16/29 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
⚔️ The Gladiator
Valkusz
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Bruno Fernandez and Mate Valkusz are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,216 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Fernandez and Valkusz have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Valkusz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bruno Fernandez | Mate Valkusz | ||
| 1 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 5 or more | 36% | 5/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Valkusz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 7–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 1.14 |
| ROI % | -29.9% | -11.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.88u | -1.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Valkusz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → SLO → GER | POL → HUN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Valkusz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Fernandez's 0%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Valkusz |
|---|---|---|
| Hazem Naow | L 36 63 16 | W 62 62 |
| Stefan Popovic | L 67 46 | W 63 57 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Trisztan Gubi
M15 Budapest · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Flynn Thomas
M15 Budapest · 1st Round
Sep 9
Adrian Oetzbach
M25 Meerbusch · Semifinals
Sep 5
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Meerbusch · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Ruben Hartig
M25 Meerbusch · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Vincent Dullinger
M25 Meerbusch · 1st Round
Sep 2
Hazem Naow
M15 Allershausen · 1st Round
Aug 25
Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Lorenzo Comino
M15 Budapest · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Nikita Bilozertsev
M15 Budapest · 1st Round
Sep 8
Andrea Paolini
M15 Pecs · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Michael Gloeckler
M15 Pecs · 1st Round
Aug 26
Pawel Juszczak
M15 Krakow · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Kacper Knitter
M15 Krakow · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Darrshan Suresh
M15 Krakow · 1st Round
Aug 19
Ioannis Xilas
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–53 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Valkusz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 70% |
| Sets won | 50% | 67% |
| Games won | 51% | 59% |