Bruno Fernandez vs Luca CastagnolaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bruno Fernandez and Luca Castagnola have met 1 time since 2026; Bruno Fernandez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Fernandez has taken 2 sets to Castagnola's 0. Their most recent meeting: Bruno Fernandez won at M15 Trier (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fernandez | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bruno Fernandez | Luca Castagnola | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 8/25 | 37% | 13/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 40% | 25/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 45% | 15/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 18% | 2/11 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 13/25 | 56% | 15/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fernandez 1, Castagnola 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fernandez
🧱 The Wall
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
Both Bruno Fernandez and Luca Castagnola are 🧱 The Wall types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 276 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 12, 2026
M15 Trier
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fernandez | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bruno Fernandez | Luca Castagnola | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 74% | 17/23 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–8 | 12–10 |
| Avg odds | 3.14 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | -81.6% | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | -7.34u | -0.97u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fernandez | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GER → SLO | GER → SLO |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Castagnola has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Fernandez's 0%).
| Opponent | Fernandez | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Hazem Naow | L 36 63 16 | W 36 75 76 |
| Stefan Popovic | L 67 46 | W 76 36 75 |
| Niklas Schell | L 57 36 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hazem Naow
M15 Allershausen · 1st Round
Aug 25
Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Niklas Schell
M15 Trier · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Luca Castagnola
M15 Trier · 1st Round
Aug 12
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Quito Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Nicolas Kicker
Piracicaba Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 25
Nick Hardt
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Maximilian Figl
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Bruno Fernandez
M15 Trier · 1st Round
Aug 12
Vladyslav Orlov
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Luca Parenti
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Nova Gorica · Final
Jul 19
Gabriele Bosio
M15 Nova Gorica · Semifinals
Jul 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–62 matches
| Metric | Fernandez | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 44% |
| Sets won | 46% | 45% |
| Games won | 50% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fernandez | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fernandez | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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