Brandon Holt vs Keegan SmithPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Holt and Keegan Smith have met 2 times since 2019; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Aptos in 2019 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Holt has taken 2 sets to Smith's 3. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Holt won at Lincoln Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holt | Smith | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Holt | Keegan Smith | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 2/4 | 72% | 48/67 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 2/7 | 47% | 15/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 4/11 | 34% | 34/99 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 20% | 1/5 | 59% | 35/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 2/6 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 54% | 27/50 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 85% | 56/66 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 73% | 48/66 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holt 0, Smith 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holt
💥 Big Hitter
Smith
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Holt and Keegan Smith are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 16, 2025
Lincoln Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 6, 2019
Aptos
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Holt | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.25 |
| ROI % | - | +31.9% |
| Units P/L | - | +4.78u |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jack Pinnington Jones
Canberra Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 6
Kimmer Coppejans
Helsinki Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 4
Rafael Jodar
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Keegan Smith
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Mackenzie McDonald
Jinan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 10
Adam Walton
Jinan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Maxim Zhukov
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rei Sakamoto
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Paul Inchauspe
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Digvijay Pratap Singh
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Nerman Fatic
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Niels McDonald
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Zsombor Piros
Brasov Challenger · Final
Jul 5
Guido Ivan Justo
Brasov Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–99 matches
| Metric | Holt | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 68% |
| Sets won | 38% | 64% |
| Games won | 47% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holt | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holt | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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