Braden Shick vs Ryotaro MatsumuraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Braden Shick and Ryotaro Matsumura have met 1 time since 2025; Braden Shick leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shick has taken 2 sets to Matsumura's 0. Their most recent meeting: Braden Shick won at M15 Yanagawa City (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shick | Matsumura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Braden Shick | Ryotaro Matsumura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 51/69 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 4/20 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 22/89 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 30/48 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 16/28 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 16/25 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 60/62 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 51/62 | 33% | 1/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shick 1, Matsumura 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 29, 2025
M15 Yanagawa City
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shick | Matsumura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Braden Shick | Ryotaro Matsumura | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 0% | 0/0 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/0 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 0% | 0/0 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/0 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/0 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/0 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shick | Matsumura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 6.23 |
| ROI % | +28.7% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +4.31u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mark Lajal
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
August Holmgren
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rio Noguchi
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Bernard Tomic
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Timo Legout
Cary Challenger · Final
Jul 5
Jay Friend
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Fajing Sun
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Donghyun Hwang
Futures 2026
Jul 14
Paul Howe
Futures 2026
Jul 12
Thanaphat Boosarawongse
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Xiuyuan Ye
Futures 2026
Jul 5
Viktor Frydrych
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Paul Howe
Futures 2026
Jun 28
Dingzheng Nima
Futures 2026
Jun 21
Braden Shick
M15 Yanagawa City · Round of 32
Oct 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–90 matches
| Metric | Shick | Matsumura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 30% |
| Sets won | 71% | 33% |
| Games won | 58% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shick | Matsumura |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shick | Matsumura |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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