Braden Shick vs Ryotaro MatsumuraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Braden Shick and Ryotaro Matsumura have met 1 time since 2025; Braden Shick leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shick has taken 2 sets to Matsumura's 0. Their most recent meeting: Braden Shick won at M15 Yanagawa City (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shick | Matsumura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Braden Shick | Ryotaro Matsumura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 50/71 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 6/23 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 27/94 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 30/53 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 17/29 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 15/24 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 61/63 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 50/63 | 33% | 1/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shick 1, Matsumura 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shick
💥 Big Hitter
Matsumura
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 374 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Braden Shick.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 29, 2025
M15 Yanagawa City
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shick | Matsumura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | - |
| ROI % | -6.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.75u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shick | Matsumura |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mees Rottgering
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Ozan Baris
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Patrick Maloney
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
J.J. Wolf
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Erik Arutiunian
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Shintaro Mochizuki
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Clement Tabur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Donghyun Hwang
Futures 2026
Jul 14
Paul Howe
Futures 2026
Jul 12
Thanaphat Boosarawongse
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Xiuyuan Ye
Futures 2026
Jul 5
Viktor Frydrych
Futures 2026
Jun 29
Paul Howe
Futures 2026
Jun 28
Dingzheng Nima
Futures 2026
Jun 21
Braden Shick
M15 Yanagawa City · Round of 32
Oct 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–95 matches
| Metric | Shick | Matsumura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 38% |
| Sets won | 69% | 37% |
| Games won | 57% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shick | Matsumura |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shick | Matsumura |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.