Braden Shick vs Mees RottgeringPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Braden Shick and Mees Rottgering have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M25 Winston-Salem 2 in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Shick has taken 2 sets to Rottgering's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mees Rottgering won at Columbus Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shick | Rottgering | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Braden Shick | Mees Rottgering | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 50/71 | 76% | 25/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 6/23 | 13% | 2/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 27/94 | 21% | 10/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 30/53 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 17/29 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 15/24 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 61/63 | 94% | 29/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 50/63 | 81% | 25/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shick 1, Rottgering 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shick
💥 Big Hitter
Rottgering
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 30, 2026
Columbus Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 16, 2026
M25 Winston-Salem 2
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shick | Rottgering | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Braden Shick | Mees Rottgering | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shick | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -6.3% | +11.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.75u | +2.08u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shick | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shick has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Rottgering's 71%).
| Opponent | Shick | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Andrade | W 62 63 | L 36 67 |
| Ozan Baris | W 76 06 63 | L 36 26 |
| Fajing Sun | W 61 62 | W 64 64 |
| Timo Legout | W 46 75 63 | W |
| Andrew Fenty | L 36 46 | W 67 61 64 |
| Strong Kirchheimer | W 76 16 62 | W 64 64 |
| Ryan Fishback | W 46 76 62 | W 62 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mees Rottgering
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Ozan Baris
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Patrick Maloney
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
J.J. Wolf
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Erik Arutiunian
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Shintaro Mochizuki
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Clement Tabur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Andy Andrade
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Braden Shick
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Edward Winter
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Nishesh Basavareddy
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tomas Machac
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Jan Choinski
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–95 matches
| Metric | Shick | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 69% |
| Sets won | 69% | 64% |
| Games won | 57% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shick | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shick | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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