Braden Shick vs Jay FriendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Braden Shick and Jay Friend have met 1 time since 2026; Braden Shick leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shick has taken 2 sets to Friend's 0. Their most recent meeting: Braden Shick won at Cary Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shick | Friend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Braden Shick | Jay Friend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 51/69 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 4/20 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 22/89 | 45% | 15/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 30/48 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 16/28 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 16/25 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 60/62 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 51/62 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shick 1, Friend 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shick
🪃 Counterpuncher
Friend
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jay Friend.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 3, 2026
Cary Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shick | Friend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Braden Shick | Jay Friend | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shick | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 8–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +28.7% | +3.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.31u | +0.31u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Friend has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Shick's 50%).
| Opponent | Shick | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Strong Kirchheimer | W 76 16 62 | W 76 36 64 |
| Fajing Sun | W 61 62 | W 62 62 |
| Mitchell Krueger | L 26 76 26 | W 62 63 |
| Shunsuke Mitsui | L 36 26 | L 61 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mark Lajal
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
August Holmgren
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rio Noguchi
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Bernard Tomic
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Timo Legout
Cary Challenger · Final
Jul 5
Jay Friend
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Fajing Sun
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Yuta Shimizu
Granby challenger
Jul 14
Keegan Rice
M25 Laval · Semifinals
Jul 11
Strong Kirchheimer
M25 Laval · Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Cole Thurgur
M25 Laval · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Eloi Roux
M25 Laval · 1st Round
Jul 8
Eloi Roux
Futures 2026
Jul 8
Braden Shick
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Alex Martinez
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–90 matches
| Metric | Shick | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 67% |
| Sets won | 71% | 62% |
| Games won | 58% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shick | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shick | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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