Bogdan Pavel vs Marcello SerafiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bogdan Pavel and Marcello Serafini have met 1 time since 2025; Marcello Serafini leads 1–0. Across all meetings Pavel has taken 0 sets to Serafini's 2. Their most recent meeting: Marcello Serafini won at Hersonissos 2 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Pavel | Serafini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bogdan Pavel | Marcello Serafini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 41% | 7/17 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 24% | 4/17 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 41% | 14/34 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 30% | 3/10 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 50% | 9/18 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 53% | 8/15 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 91% | 10/11 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 64% | 7/11 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pavel 0, Serafini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Pavel
💥 Big Hitter
Serafini
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Bogdan Pavel.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 10, 2025
Hersonissos 2
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Pavel | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.58 |
| ROI % | - | +46.0% |
| Units P/L | - | +7.82u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Pavel | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maxwell Mckennon
Porto · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Stefan Palosi
Brasov · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Marcello Serafini
Hersonissos 2 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 10
Petros Tsitsipas
Hersonissos 2 · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 9
Max Hans Rehberg
Rovereto · Round of 32
Nov 19
Kalin Ivanovski
Rovereto · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 18
Egor Gerasimov
Rovereto · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 17
Kyle Edmund
St. Brieuc · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 14
Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Fano · Final
Aug 9
Massimo Giunta
M25 Fano · Semifinals
Aug 7
Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Fano · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Peter Buldorini
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 3
John Hallquist Lithen
M15 Wels · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alexander Gschiel
M15 Wels · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pierluigi Basile
M15 Gubbio · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–34 matches
| Metric | Pavel | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 50% |
| Sets won | - | 46% |
| Games won | - | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Pavel | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Pavel | Serafini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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