Blu Baker vs Lui MaxtedPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Setubal
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 23 · 2:05 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.22 or shorter, Lui Maxted has won 17 of 18 (94%). The price implied 84%, so Lui Maxted has beaten it by 10 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Blu Baker and Lui Maxted meet next at the M25 Setubal on September 23 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baker | Maxted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Blu Baker | Lui Maxted | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 4/10 | 74% | 31/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 5/12 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 11/22 | 27% | 17/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 23% | 3/13 | 52% | 24/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 2/6 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 64% | 9/14 | 91% | 39/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 29% | 4/14 | 72% | 31/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baker
🪃 Counterpuncher
Maxted
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Blu Baker and Lui Maxted are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,510 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Baker and Maxted have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baker | Maxted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Blu Baker | Lui Maxted | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 88% | 21/24 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 50% | 12/24 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 13% | 3/24 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 4% | 1/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baker | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 14–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -31.5% | -16.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.89u | -3.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baker | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | — | 838 mi · 1,348 km |
| Route | SUI → ITA | GBR → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Guilherme Valdoleiros
M25 Setubal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
David De La Pezuela
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Benjamin Tauber
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Tyler Stice
M25 Sintra · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Cristian Kouchnarev
M25 Sintra · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Gabriele Bosio
M15 Bologna · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Manuel Plunger
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Manuel Plunger
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Fausto Tabacco
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Julien Penzlin
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Goncalo Marques
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Adrian Boitan
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Johannus Monday
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Anton Shepp
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 24
Lucas Poullain
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 21
Adrian Boitan
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–64 matches
| Metric | Baker | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 66% |
| Sets won | 45% | 62% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |