Blake Ellis vs Ozan BarisPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊBlake Ellis
#470 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
6w1 meeting Β· sets 0β2

πΊπΈOzan Baris
#422 Β· 22 yrs Β· R
Blake Ellis and Ozan Baris have met 1 time since 2026; Ozan Baris leads 1β0. Across all meetings Ellis has taken 0 sets to Baris's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ozan Baris won at Cary Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ellis | Baris | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Blake Ellis | Ozan Baris | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 8/19 | 73% | 29/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 24% | 5/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 26% | 16/61 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 7/17 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 16/25 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 81% | 29/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ellis 0, Baris 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ellis
π€ Servebot
Baris
πͺ Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Blake Ellis.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 2, 2026
Cary Challenger
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ellis | Baris | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Blake Ellis | Ozan Baris | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 29/29 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 72% | 21/29 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 52% | 15/29 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/29 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/29 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/29 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Ellis | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β7 | 27β8 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 1.58 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | +23.9% |
| Units P/L | -5.18u | +8.37u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ellis | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 1 |
| Events | β | 3 |
| Matches | β | 6 |
| Distance | β | β |
| Route | β | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Baris has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Ellis's 25%).
| Opponent | Ellis | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Broady | L 67 26 | W 64 75 |
| Tyler Zink | L 46 75 36 | L 67 36 |
| Fajing Sun | W 76 36 75 | W 64 63 |
| Sebastian Gorzny | L 62 46 57 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Duje Markovina
M15 Brisbane Β· 2nd Round
Jul 23
Joshua Charlton
M15 Brisbane Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Benjamin O'Connell
M25 Brisbane Β· 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hayden Jones
M25 Brisbane Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Garrett Johns
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Ozan Baris
Cary Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Philip Sekulic
Cary Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Enzo Aguiard
M25 Tulsa Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Luca Pow
M25 East Lansing Β· 2nd Round
Aug 13
Mitchell Sheldon
M25 East Lansing Β· 1st Round
Aug 11
Edas Butvilas
Lexington Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Liam Broady
Lexington Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Vignesh Gogineni
M25 Edwardsville Β· Final
Aug 2
Johannus Monday
M25 Edwardsville Β· Semifinals
Aug 1
Maxwell Exsted
M25 Edwardsville Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 35β61 matches
| Metric | Ellis | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 66% |
| Sets won | 51% | 62% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ellis | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ellis | Baris |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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