Blake Ellis vs Li TuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊBlake Ellis
#470 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
6w3 meetings Β· sets 2β4

π¦πΊLi Tu
#529 Β· 30 yrs Β· R
13wBlake Ellis and Li Tu have met 3 times since 2025; Li Tu leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Brisbane 1 Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Tu leads 2β1. Tu has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ellis has taken 2 sets to Tu's 4. Their most recent meeting: Li Tu won at Wuning 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ellis | Tu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Blake Ellis | Li Tu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 8/19 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 28% | 9/32 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 7/17 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 16/25 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ellis 1, Tu 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ellis
π€ Servebot
Tu
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Blake Ellis and Li Tu are π€ Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 17, 2026
Wuning 2 Challenger
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 12, 2026
Brisbane 2 Challenger
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jan 28, 2025
Brisbane 1 Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Ellis | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | - |
| ROI % | -47.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -5.18u | - |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Ellis has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Tu's 33%).
| Opponent | Ellis | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Enzo Aguiard | L 64 36 36 | L 36 46 |
| Fajing Sun | W 76 36 75 | L 75 46 57 |
| Pavle Marinkov | L 62 36 46 | W 62 63 |
| Shinji Hazawa | W 67 62 64 | W 26 61 63 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | L 46 46 | L 36 46 |
| Bernard Tomic | W 76 36 64 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Duje Markovina
M15 Brisbane Β· 2nd Round
Jul 23
Joshua Charlton
M15 Brisbane Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Benjamin O'Connell
M25 Brisbane Β· 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hayden Jones
M25 Brisbane Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Garrett Johns
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Ozan Baris
Cary Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Philip Sekulic
Cary Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Enzo Aguiard
M25 Tulsa Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Lorenzo Carboni
Internazionali di Tennis CittΓ di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup Β· 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Lukas Neumayer
Vicenza Challenger Β· 1st Round
May 25
Tommaso Compagnucci
Cervia Challenger Β· 1st Round
May 19
Fajing Sun
Wuning 2 Challenger Β· Final
Apr 19
Charles Broom
Wuning 2 Challenger Β· Semifinals
Apr 18
Blake Ellis
Wuning 2 Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Keegan Smith
Wuning 2 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Apr 16
Hayato Matsuoka
Wuning 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Apr 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 32β35 matches
| Metric | Ellis | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 59% |
| Sets won | 51% | 56% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ellis | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ellis | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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