Blake Ellis vs Ilia SimakinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Blake Ellis and Ilia Simakin have met 2 times since 2025; Ilia Simakin leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Pune Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Simakin leads 2–0. Simakin has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ellis has taken 0 sets to Simakin's 4. Their most recent meeting: Ilia Simakin won at Phan Thiet 4 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ellis | Simakin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Blake Ellis | Ilia Simakin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 54% | 29/54 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 20/43 | 45% | 36/80 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 9/20 | 50% | 26/52 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 18/28 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 64% | 29/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ellis 0, Simakin 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ellis
🤖 Servebot
Simakin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 17, 2026
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2025
Pune Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ellis | Simakin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Blake Ellis | Ilia Simakin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 96% | 21/22 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 96% | 21/22 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 73% | 16/22 |
| 10 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 23% | 5/22 |
| 15 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 5% | 1/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ellis | Simakin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 21–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.38 |
| ROI % | -35.2% | +25.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.17u | +5.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ellis | Simakin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 8 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,643 mi · 2,644 km |
| Route | VIE | VIE → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Simakin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Ellis's 43%).
| Opponent | Ellis | Simakin |
|---|---|---|
| Max Purcell | L 46 46 | W 63 26 62 |
| Philip Sekulic | W 75 67 75 | W 64 63 |
| Enzo Aguiard | L 64 36 36 | W 62 60 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | W 76 76 | W 75 62 |
| Fajing Sun | W 76 36 75 | W 63 76 |
| Soonwoo Kwon | L 26 06 | L 67 36 |
| Soon Woo Kwon | L 26 06 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arjun Mehrotra
M25 Darwin · 1st Round
Sep 30
Ilia Simakin
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Hiroki Moriya
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Max Purcell
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Benjamin O'Connell
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Hayden Jones
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Reece Falck
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Sep 1
Duje Markovina
M15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rigele Te
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Luka Pavlovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Hunter Heck
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Cruz Hewitt
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Timofei Derepasko
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–80 matches
| Metric | Ellis | Simakin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 68% |
| Sets won | 49% | 61% |
| Games won | 48% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ellis | Simakin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ellis | Simakin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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