Blake Ellis vs Hayden JonesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Blake Ellis and Hayden Jones have met 1 time since 2026; Blake Ellis leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ellis has taken 2 sets to Jones's 0. Their most recent meeting: Blake Ellis won at M25 Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ellis | Jones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Blake Ellis | Hayden Jones | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 8/19 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 7/17 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 16/25 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 83% | 5/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ellis 1, Jones 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ellis
🤖 Servebot
Jones
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Blake Ellis.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 14, 2026
M25 Brisbane
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ellis | Jones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Blake Ellis | Hayden Jones | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ellis | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 2.66 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | -43.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.18u | -2.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ellis has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Jones's 33%).
| Opponent | Ellis | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Dellavedova | W 76 76 | L 57 36 |
| Joshua Charlton | W 67 64 64 | W 76 63 |
| Ryuki Matsuda | W 63 64 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Duje Markovina
M15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Joshua Charlton
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 21
Benjamin O'Connell
M25 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hayden Jones
M25 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 14
Garrett Johns
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Ozan Baris
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Philip Sekulic
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Enzo Aguiard
M25 Tulsa · 1st Round
Jun 16
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 22
Blake Ellis
M25 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 14
Kosuke Ogura
Futures 2026
Jun 15
Lev Seidman
Futures 2026
Jun 14
Jumpei Yamasaki
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Hiromasa Koyama
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 10
Hiromasa Koyama
Futures 2026
Jun 10
Kazuki Nishiwaki
Futures 2026
Jun 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–35 matches
| Metric | Ellis | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 43% |
| Sets won | 51% | 45% |
| Games won | 49% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ellis | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ellis | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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