Blake Ellis vs Hayden JonesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Blake Ellis and Hayden Jones have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M25 Brisbane in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Ellis has taken 3 sets to Jones's 2. Their most recent meeting: Hayden Jones won at M15 Bali (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ellis | Jones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Blake Ellis | Hayden Jones | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 18% | 2/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 20/43 | 17% | 5/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 9/20 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 18/28 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 94% | 15/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 94% | 15/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ellis 1, Jones 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ellis
🤖 Servebot
Jones
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 3, 2026
M15 Bali
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 14, 2026
M25 Brisbane
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ellis | Jones | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Blake Ellis | Hayden Jones | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 10 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ellis | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -35.2% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.17u | +1.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ellis | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | VIE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ellis has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Jones's 50%).
| Opponent | Ellis | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Arjun Mehrotra | L | W 60 60 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | W 76 76 | L 57 36 |
| Joshua Charlton | W 67 64 64 | W 76 63 |
| Ryuki Matsuda | W 63 64 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arjun Mehrotra
M25 Darwin · 1st Round
Sep 30
Ilia Simakin
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Hiroki Moriya
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Max Purcell
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Benjamin O'Connell
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Hayden Jones
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Reece Falck
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Sep 1
Duje Markovina
M15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Stefan Vujic
M25 Darwin · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Colin Sinclair
M25 Darwin · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Makoto Ochi
M25 Darwin · 1st Round
Oct 7
Casey Hoole
M25 Darwin · Final
Oct 4
Derek Pham
M25 Darwin · Semifinals
Oct 3
Scott Jones
M25 Darwin · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Arjun Mehrotra
M25 Darwin · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Harrison Satara
M25 Darwin · 1st Round
Sep 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 29–43 matches
| Metric | Ellis | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 62% |
| Sets won | 49% | 60% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ellis | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ellis | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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