Blake Ellis vs Garrett JohnsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊBlake Ellis
#470 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
6w1 meeting Β· sets 0β2
πΊπΈGarrett Johns
#406 Β· 25 yrs Β· R
3Blake Ellis and Garrett Johns have met 1 time since 2026; Garrett Johns leads 1β0. Across all meetings Ellis has taken 0 sets to Johns's 2. Their most recent meeting: Garrett Johns won at Newport challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ellis | Johns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Blake Ellis | Garrett Johns | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 42% | 8/19 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 22% | 7/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 7/17 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 16/25 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 60% | 15/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ellis 0, Johns 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ellis
π€ Servebot
Johns
βοΈ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs βοΈ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Blake Ellis.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 5, 2026
Newport challenger
G Grass
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ellis | Johns | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Blake Ellis | Garrett Johns | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Ellis | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β7 | 3β6 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 3.08 |
| ROI % | -47.1% | -16.1% |
| Units P/L | -5.18u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ellis | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 1 |
| Events | β | 2 |
| Matches | β | 3 |
| Distance | β | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | β | JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Ellis and Johns posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Ellis | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Philip Sekulic | W 75 67 75 | W 64 64 |
| Maximus Jones | W 64 16 62 | W 64 46 61 |
| Jurij Rodionov | L 46 76 36 | L 64 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Duje Markovina
M15 Brisbane Β· 2nd Round
Jul 23
Joshua Charlton
M15 Brisbane Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Benjamin O'Connell
M25 Brisbane Β· 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hayden Jones
M25 Brisbane Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Garrett Johns
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Ozan Baris
Cary Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Philip Sekulic
Cary Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Enzo Aguiard
M25 Tulsa Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Max Purcell
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 26
Aidan Kim
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Pedro Martinez
Kingston 1 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 19
August Holmgren
Winnipeg Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 22
Daniil Glinka
Granby Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Darwin Blanch
Newport Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 10
Patrick Maloney
Newport Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 9
Stefan Kozlov
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 35β59 matches
| Metric | Ellis | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 46% |
| Sets won | 51% | 44% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ellis | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ellis | Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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