Bjorn Swenson vs Keegan SmithPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bjorn Swenson and Keegan Smith have met 1 time since 2025; Keegan Smith leads 1–0. Across all meetings Swenson has taken 0 sets to Smith's 2. Their most recent meeting: Keegan Smith won at M15 Ann Arbor 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swenson | Smith | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bjorn Swenson | Keegan Smith | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 68% | 40/59 | |
| Wins a set when losing | 75% | 3/4 | 46% | 16/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 75% | 3/4 | 37% | 35/94 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 53% | 29/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 66% | 21/32 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 46% | 23/50 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 0% | 0/2 | 80% | 49/61 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 0% | 0/2 | 66% | 40/61 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swenson 0, Smith 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swenson
🪃 Counterpuncher
Smith
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Keegan Smith.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 25, 2025
M15 Ann Arbor 1
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swenson | Smith | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bjorn Swenson | Keegan Smith | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 2/2 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 1/2 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swenson | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.30 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -46.0% | -34.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.92u | -3.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swenson | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Naoto Tomizawa
M15 Ann Arbor · 1st Round
Sep 30
Jack Davison
M15 Ann Arbor · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Poonthong Komopisut
M15 Ann Arbor · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Teodor Davidov
M15 Columbia · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Jelani Sarr
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Cesar Cruz
M15 Lakewood · 1st Round Qualifying
May 25
Keegan Smith
M15 Ann Arbor 1 · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Ryan Dickerson
M15 Ann Arbor 1 · 1st Round
Sep 23
Hiroki Moriya
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bryce Nakashima
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Kaylan Bigun
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dylan Dietrich
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Edward Winter
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Mitchell Krueger
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Alexis Galarneau
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–94 matches
| Metric | Swenson | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 0% | 63% |
| Sets won | 27% | 60% |
| Games won | 43% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swenson | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swenson | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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