Belle Thompson vs Natsuho ArakawaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Belle Thompson
#668 · 26 yrs
4w32 meetings · sets 3–3
🇯🇵Natsuho Arakawa
Unranked · 28 yrs · Left-Handed
5w5Belle Thompson and Natsuho Arakawa have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at W15 Swan Hill 1 in 2026 on grass. Across all meetings Thompson has taken 3 sets to Arakawa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Natsuho Arakawa won at W15 Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thompson | Arakawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belle Thompson | Natsuho Arakawa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 10/21 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 17/43 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 10/23 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 10/20 | 70% | 7/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thompson 0, Arakawa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thompson
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arakawa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
W15 Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 27, 2026
W15 Swan Hill 1
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Thompson | Arakawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Belle Thompson | Natsuho Arakawa | ||
| 1 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thompson | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–8 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.05 | 4.32 |
| ROI % | +16.3% | +124.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.94u | +14.92u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Thompson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Arakawa's 14%).
| Opponent | Thompson | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| I Wen Wan | W 62 61 | L 63 26 46 |
| Chia Yi Tsao | L 67 75 06 | W 26 63 63 |
| Destanee Aiava | L 26 36 | L 26 16 |
| Yui Chikaraishi | W 64 62 | L 06 16 |
| Jasmine Adams | W 64 63 | L 67 46 |
| Tahlia Kokkinis | L 16 16 | L 16 06 |
| Hayu Kinoshita | L 26 46 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chia Yi Tsao
W15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Olivia Symons
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 30
I Wen Wan
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 29
I Wen Wan
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 29
Natsuho Arakawa
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Tori Russell
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 22
Destanee Aiava
W15 Brisbane · Final
Jul 19
Natsuki Yoshimoto
W15 Brisbane · Semifinals
Jul 18
Eloise Newberry
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Aug 26
Eloise Newberry
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Aug 26
Amy Stevens
W15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Ya Yi Yang
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Julie Adele Bedard
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 29
Destanee Aiava
W15 Brisbane · Final
Jul 26
Chia Yi Tsao
W15 Brisbane · Semifinals
Jul 25
Maiko Uchijima
W15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–43 matches
| Metric | Thompson | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 43% |
| Sets won | 47% | 42% |
| Games won | 49% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thompson | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thompson | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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