Belle Thompson vs Natsuho ArakawaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Belle Thompson
#722 · 26 yrs
32 meetings · sets 3–3
🇯🇵Natsuho Arakawa
Unranked · 28 yrs · Left-Handed
4Belle Thompson and Natsuho Arakawa have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at W15 Swan Hill 1 in 2026 on grass. Across all meetings Thompson has taken 3 sets to Arakawa's 3. Their most recent meeting: Natsuho Arakawa won at W15 Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thompson | Arakawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belle Thompson | Natsuho Arakawa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 10/19 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/40 | 35% | 14/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 9/20 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 10/20 | 60% | 12/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thompson 0, Arakawa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thompson
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arakawa
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,089 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
W15 Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 27, 2026
W15 Swan Hill 1
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Thompson | Arakawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Belle Thompson | Natsuho Arakawa | ||
| 1 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thompson | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.91 | 3.59 |
| ROI % | +34.2% | +84.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.08u | +11.02u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Thompson | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 4 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ECU → POR | ESP → AUT → ECU → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Thompson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Arakawa's 20%).
| Opponent | Thompson | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Adams | W 64 63 | L 62 36 410 |
| I Wen Wan | W 62 61 | L 63 26 46 |
| Chia Yi Tsao | L 67 75 06 | W 26 63 63 |
| Destanee Aiava | L 26 36 | L 26 16 |
| Ava Beck | L 36 46 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuno Kitahara
W35 Wagga Wagga · 1st Round
Oct 6
Ashleigh Simes
W35 Wagga Wagga · 1st Round
Sep 30
Chia Yi Tsao
W15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Olivia Symons
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 30
I Wen Wan
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 29
I Wen Wan
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 29
Natsuho Arakawa
W15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Tori Russell
W15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jasmine Adams
W35 Wagga Wagga · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Nagi Hanatani
W35 Wagga Wagga · 1st Round
Sep 29
Rira Kosaka
W50 Nanao · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Remika Ohashi
W35 Kyoto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 15
Karen Tsutsumi
W35 Kyoto · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Clarissa Blomqvist
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 2
Eloise Newberry
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Aug 26
Eloise Newberry
W15 Monastir · 1st Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–41 matches
| Metric | Thompson | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 44% |
| Sets won | 46% | 46% |
| Games won | 49% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thompson | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thompson | Arakawa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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