Belinda Bencic vs Garbine MuguruzaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ญBelinda Bencic
#12 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
4 meetings ยท sets 6โ2
๐ช๐ธGarbine Muguruza
Unranked ยท 32 yrs ยท Right-Handed
193wBelinda Bencic and Garbine Muguruza have met 4 times since 2015; Belinda Bencic leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Bencic leads 3โ1. Bencic has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bencic has taken 6 sets to Muguruza's 2. Their most recent meeting: Belinda Bencic won at Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bencic | Muguruza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Belinda Bencic | Garbine Muguruza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 77% | 10/13 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 20/49 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 23/40 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 8/9 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 31/37 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 26/37 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bencic 3, Muguruza 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bencic
๐ The Complete Package
Muguruza
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ค Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Belinda Bencic.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 9, 2023
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Aug 11, 2022
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Sep 19, 2018
Tokyo
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Sep 25, 2015
Tokyo
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Bencic | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.34 | - |
| ROI % | -9.2% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.55u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bencic | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | ROU | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ann Li
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 5
Anastasia Zakharova
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Yulia Putintseva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Lois Boisson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Taylor Townsend
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sloane Stephens
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Linda Noskova
Open 6 Sens - Lyon ยท 1st Round
Jan 30
Elise Mertens
Australian Open - Melbourne ยท 1st Round
Jan 17
Belinda Bencic
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide ยท 1st Round
Jan 9
Bianca Andreescu
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide ยท 1st Round
Jan 1
Liudmila Samsonova
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 23
Despina Papamichail
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Sep 21
Petra Kvitova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 3
Linda Fruhvirtova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 49โ49 matches
| Metric | Bencic | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | - |
| Sets won | 69% | - |
| Games won | 57% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bencic | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bencic | Muguruza |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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