Beibit Zhukayev vs Yaroslav DeminPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Wuning 3 Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 5 · 1:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.77 or shorter, Beibit Zhukayev has won 44 of 76 (58%). That is level with the 60% the price implied.
At 1.97 or longer, Yaroslav Demin has won 4 of 18 (22%). The price implied 40%, so Yaroslav Demin has fallen 18 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Yaroslav Demin meets Beibit Zhukayev in the 1st Round of the Wuning 3 Challenger on October 5 on hard court. Demin, ranked 645th, has not faced Zhukayev before. Zhukayev sits at 495th in the rankings.
Demin has converted 75% of his hard court matches in recent play, though his form has slipped; he has won two of his last five and sits on a two-match losing streak after a three-week layoff. Zhukayev has won four of ten on hard court over the same span and comes in off a seven-week absence, dropping his most recent outing.
Demin constructs points as a counterpuncher, thriving on his opponent's mistakes and feeding off rhythm from the baseline. Zhukayev operates around his serve, relying on first-strike tennis and minimal rallies. Demin needs to disrupt Zhukayev's service games and sustain consistency from the back of the court; Zhukayev must impose his pace early and avoid extended baseline exchanges where Demin's reading of the court becomes dangerous.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zhukayev | Demin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Beibit Zhukayev | Yaroslav Demin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 64% | 25/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 13/34 | 34% | 21/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 9/22 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 7/11 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 12/19 | 66% | 25/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zhukayev
🤖 Servebot
Demin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,609 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Beibit Zhukayev.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Zhukayev and Demin have never faced each other on tour.
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zhukayev | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -11.5% | -44.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.23u | -4.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zhukayev | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Zhukayev and Demin posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Zhukayev | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Amir Omarkhanov | W 63 64 | W 67 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mert Alkaya
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Amir Omarkhanov
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Yusuke Takahashi
Jiujiang Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 26
Liam Broady
Gwangju Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 21
Hiroki Moriya
Gwangju Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Masamichi Imamura
Gwangju Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 19
Sho Shimabukuro
Busan Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 16
Uisung Park
Busan Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 14
Hanyi Liu
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Jack Loge
M25 Casablanca · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Niklas Schell
M25 Casablanca · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yassine Smiej
M25 Casablanca · 1st Round
Sep 2
Alexander Ritschard
M25 Oviedo · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Tristan McCormick
M25 Oviedo · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pablo Aunion
M25 Oviedo · 1st Round
Aug 25
Carles Hernandez
M25 Santander · 1st Round
Aug 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–61 matches
| Metric | Zhukayev | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 64% |
| Sets won | 52% | 59% |
| Games won | 49% | 54% |