Barbora Palicova vs Jazmin OrtenziPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Lisboa Belem Open - Lisbon
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 12 · 9:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.52 or shorter, Barbora Palicova has won 10 of 22 (45%). The price implied 70%, so Barbora Palicova has fallen 25 points short of it.
At 2.43 or longer, Jazmin Ortenzi has won 4 of 13 (31%). That is level with the 30% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Jazmin Ortenzi meets Barbora Palicova in the first round of the Lisboa Belem Open on October 12 on clay. Ortenzi, ranked 155th, arrives after three matches in two weeks; Palicova, at 187th, has been idle for over two weeks. Neither player has faced the other before.
Ortenzi has won 3 of her last 5 matches but sits at 40% over her last 10. Palicova has dropped four of five recent outings, though she holds a stronger clay record at 80% compared to Ortenzi's 60%. Against shared opponents Gorgodze and Avanesyan, Ortenzi prevailed while Palicova fell in both instances.
Ortenzi plays a physical, aggressive baseline game; Palicova constructs points through reaction and positioning. The clay will reward patience and consistency, traits where Palicova's recent form suggests strength despite her ranking, while Ortenzi's aggression can either accelerate the court or force errors under extended rallies. Palicova's layoff means finding rhythm quickly; Ortenzi must sustain the intensity she has shown in recent wins.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Palicova | Ortenzi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Barbora Palicova | Jazmin Ortenzi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 13/30 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 21/62 | 34% | 19/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 18/36 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 15/22 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 31% | 4/13 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 26/35 | 82% | 28/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 24/35 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Palicova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ortenzi
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Palicova and Ortenzi have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Palicova | Ortenzi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Barbora Palicova | Jazmin Ortenzi | ||
| 1 or more | 48% | 10/21 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 3 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Palicova | Ortenzi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–5 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 4.89 |
| ROI % | +25.7% | -40.7% |
| Units P/L | +5.66u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Palicova | Ortenzi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → SRB → SUI | BRA → AUT → SUI |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ortenzi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Palicova's 25%).
| Opponent | Palicova | Ortenzi |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | L 57 57 | W 60 63 |
| Francesca Parcelli | W 62 61 | W 61 64 |
| Elina Avanesyan | L 06 63 16 | W 61 63 |
| Kristina Liutova | L 46 36 | L 16 62 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Alicia Herrero Linana
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 22
Samira De Stefano
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Gina Feistel
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 14
Fiona Ferro
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Alice Tubello
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round
Sep 8
Denisa Zoldakova
W75 Bytom · Final
Aug 30
Mina Hodzic
W75 Bytom · Semifinals
Aug 29
Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
W50 Burgas · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Ilinca Dalina Amariei
W50 Burgas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Laura Mair
W50 Burgas · 1st Round
Oct 7
Paula Badosa
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Chloe Paquet
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Mary Stoiana
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 9
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Katherine Sebov
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–62 matches
| Metric | Palicova | Ortenzi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 59% |
| Sets won | 53% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |